Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37426c459b51c7f10b550f643feae2788516ea46261c862b5f6883d8b4314a4c

Rebuilt 18 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 28, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $9,618
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $11,660

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,618 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5f56…348abacked No	76c	1,535$1,162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,162.27	11	45.5%5 W · 6 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x23d9…3a2ebacked Yes	26c	1,282$328 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$953.48	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	48cpaid	+62.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd215…b4eebacked Yes	42c	1,147$482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$665.26	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ad…990ebacked No	58c	603$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.74	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-3.2wins	-0.20per pick	39cpaid	-69.1%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a04…2310backed No	58c	544$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315.52	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+41.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes	21c	375.09$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$295.09	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed No	39c	243.24$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.77	990	17.2%170 W · 820 L	-148.8wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	34-0.15 edge/pick
0x911b…a7febacked Yes	58c	181.21$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$76.11	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	48cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x17b6…0be9backed Yes	24c	168.33$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$128.33	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6ca0…e59dbacked No	55c	162.86$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.05	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	64cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No	73c	136.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.58	53	13.2%7 W · 46 L	-8.5wins	-0.16per pick	29cpaid	-80.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Yes	39c	109.99$43 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.09	36	72.2%26 W · 10 L	+6.8wins	+0.19per pick	53cpaid	+37%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	27c	100$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.43	1,022	28%286 W · 736 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-34.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x79f4…4afbbacked Yes	19c	100$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81	37	18.9%7 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f1…7da3backed Yes	72c	88$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	77c	83.33$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.05	1,318	43.9%579 W · 739 L	-26.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-13%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Yes	43c	78$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.36	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	-3.8wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1add…a268backed Yes	22c	68.81$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.39	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.6wins	+0.23per pick	48cpaid	+75.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked No	45c	68.62$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.01	79	19%15 W · 64 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x645a…fd84backed No	71c	61.7$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44	40	45%18 W · 22 L	-4.1wins	-0.10per pick	55cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7169…3ca6backed No	62c	56.16$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.59	25	68%17 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	61cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No	58c	52.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.46	394	14%55 W · 339 L	-71.9wins	-0.18per pick	32cpaid	-73.1%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0xbe62…bfa5backed No	75c	45.85$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.61	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-5.0wins	-0.50per pick	60cpaid	-72.7%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes	34c	44$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.9	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No	56c	44$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.64	43	62.8%27 W · 16 L	+4.3wins	+0.10per pick	53cpaid	+23.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed Yes	42c	41.87$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.22	76	31.6%24 W · 52 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-27%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf528…7e5bbacked No	75c	36.56$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.43	150	76%114 W · 36 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	74cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed No	58c	34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes	44c	29.99$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.79	102	61.8%63 W · 39 L	+13.2wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x1408…b4f8backed No	56c	29.55$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.55	163	43.6%71 W · 92 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30f6…004fbacked No	76c	27.01$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.47	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebb…0614backed No	78c	25.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-2.8wins	-0.23per pick	48cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4388…5050backed No	57c	20$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.4	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will King Charles say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the joint meeting of Congress?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event