NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Washington Wizards vs. Atlanta Hawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68eb79decfb4b405a9e3815ab3425ff279ce6fcbb77960e1c830bdfcde6a416f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Wizardsof Washington Wizards, Atlanta Hawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Atlanta Hawks | 1c | 11,526$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.46 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 20cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Atlanta Hawks | 0c | 5,100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Atlanta Hawks | 4c | 1,400$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Atlanta Hawks | 28c | 1,350$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.07 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f4b…18c1backed Atlanta Hawks | 36c | 1,169$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf83d…367dbacked Atlanta Hawks | 47c | 864.3$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.22 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Washington Wizards | 79c | 850$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.5 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Washington Wizards | 53c | 806.33$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.25 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked Washington Wizards | 75c | 800.22$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.39 | 143 | 57.3%82 W · 61 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Atlanta Hawks | 49c | 781.4$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Atlanta Hawks | 42c | 703.8$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.66 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Washington Wizards | 53c | 700$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Atlanta Hawks | 21c | 620.24$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 214 | 50%107 W · 107 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…89bcbacked Atlanta Hawks | 49c | 570.86$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Wizards | 51c | 520.04$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Washington Wizards | 70c | 490$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 688 | 38.5%265 W · 423 L | -26.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Washington Wizards | 63c | 441.3$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.15 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1378…dbd2backed Washington Wizards | 58c | 416.04$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Washington Wizards | 57c | 393.07$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.34 | 575 | 50.3%289 W · 286 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ff…8a60backed Washington Wizards | 50c | 303.32$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.69 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Atlanta Hawks | 44c | 300$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Atlanta Hawks | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 251 | 46.2%116 W · 135 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Washington Wizards | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cea…371bbacked Washington Wizards | 53c | 265.62$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9410…ffcdbacked Atlanta Hawks | 25c | 260$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba8…f50bbacked Washington Wizards | 79c | 252.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 63cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Wizards | 75c | 238.92$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.31 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Atlanta Hawks | 50c | 216.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.39 | 259 | 54.4%141 W · 118 L | +34.1wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Atlanta Hawks | 25c | 215.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 189 | 30.7%58 W · 131 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Washington Wizards | 79c | 215.24$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb7…a3cdbacked Washington Wizards | 52c | 213.4$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0c…7047backed Washington Wizards | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…e85dbacked Atlanta Hawks | 51c | 204.06$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked Atlanta Hawks | 47c | 200$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Washington Wizards | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…b6f3backed Atlanta Hawks | 12c | 122.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 64 | 39.1%25 W · 39 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…fc4bbacked Atlanta Hawks | 51c | 122.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…095cbacked Atlanta Hawks | 37c | 114.86$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Atlanta Hawks | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Washington Wizards | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.13 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Washington Wizards | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…adefbacked Washington Wizards | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…1992backed Atlanta Hawks | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 143 | 30.8%44 W · 99 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x142f…19f9backed Washington Wizards | 66c | 95.5$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a40…f518backed Atlanta Hawks | 50c | 83.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75b4…12b2backed Atlanta Hawks | 16c | 81.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Washington Wizards | 69c | 80.16$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Atlanta Hawks | 30c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Atlanta Hawks | 48c | 75.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 320 | 45.3%145 W · 175 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Washington Wizards | 74c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed Washington Wizards | 52c | 67.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…159fbacked Washington Wizards | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Atlanta Hawks | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.02 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed Atlanta Hawks | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 127 | 35.4%45 W · 82 L | -12.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Atlanta Hawks | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 333 | 56.2%187 W · 146 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Washington Wizards | 74c | 59.04$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 59cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbef0…69c8backed Atlanta Hawks | 33c | 51.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Atlanta Hawks | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Washington Wizards | 77c | 49.27$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Washington Wizards | 50c | 43.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd003…8341backed Washington Wizards | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Atlanta Hawks | 39c | 40.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f2…68f9backed Atlanta Hawks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea63…b876backed Washington Wizards | 69c | 38.93$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Washington Wizards | 51c | 37$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6959…084fbacked Washington Wizards | 73c | 34.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Washington Wizards | 79c | 32.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 50 | 76%38 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Washington Wizards | 79c | 29.17$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 249 | 37.3%93 W · 156 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -35%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Washington Wizards | 80c | 27.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Washington Wizards | 75c | 26.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 27 | 81.5%22 W · 5 L | +5.9wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8986…4bb6backed Washington Wizards | 72c | 23.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…bfdfbacked Washington Wizards | 66c | 22.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.24per pick | 63cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Washington Wizards | 71c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ff5…051fbacked Washington Wizards | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Washington Wizards | 50c | 21.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.69 | 227 | 56.8%129 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa926…2e9bbacked Washington Wizards | 72c | 18.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Washington Wizards | 58c | 17.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.18per pick | 59cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Washington Wizards | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Washington Wizards | 77c | 13.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.