Middle East · resolved market
Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e2c5dc9c87d16ea7ce8eee703a031083e4339c7b9440635d0ed64b7051cfb68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa638…1d87backed Yes | 75c | 1,372$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.16 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed No | 41c | 1,216$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 30c | 551.64$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.5 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed Yes | 47c | 334.8$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.8 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…f3b8backed Yes | 67c | 319.89$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x606c…92f8backed No | 36c | 316.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.07 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf27c…b5d8backed Yes | 74c | 286.6$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.06 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed No | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8330…b88fbacked Yes | 62c | 201.37$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b28…aa68backed No | 38c | 195.85$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +96.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…2f27backed Yes | 61c | 166.26$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.84 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ad…b0cfbacked No | 34c | 160$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c87…e1debacked Yes | 73c | 154.94$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.5 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Yes | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbee…a34fbacked Yes | 67c | 148.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf141…d9aabacked Yes | 68c | 147.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.87 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3889…1c56backed No | 30c | 147.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.03 | 136 | 39%53 W · 83 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…ee5abacked Yes | 75c | 136.87$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbdf…c675backed Yes | 74c | 135.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c5…19a4backed No | 37c | 135.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked Yes | 60c | 129.05$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84fa…1327backed Yes | 64c | 127.35$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 143 | 35%50 W · 93 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a9c…fc2bbacked No | 40c | 126.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…d6bebacked No | 35c | 126.06$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.26 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7463…59b3backed Yes | 75c | 121$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…f6e1backed Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed No | 26c | 113.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa899…f68dbacked No | 24c | 109.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed No | 32c | 107.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe72…cb10backed No | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 28c | 97.54$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 857 | 25.2%216 W · 641 L | -115.1wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xce94…5d59backed No | 38c | 91.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -67%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed Yes | 60c | 89.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…4f06backed Yes | 69c | 88.73$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 28c | 83.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 19c | 83.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 238 | 4.6%11 W · 227 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 83.09$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.23 | 344 | 32.3%111 W · 233 L | -31.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Yes | 62c | 80.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 80.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4b…b93cbacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…54dcbacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa406…bd18backed Yes | 68c | 73.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ebd…9173backed No | 34c | 72.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed No | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf03…3f1dbacked No | 32c | 68.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Yes | 73c | 68.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…0e18backed Yes | 66c | 63.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe423…2492backed No | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x899c…d868backed No | 27c | 59.08$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5a6…a88ebacked No | 68c | 59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…1d0dbacked No | 37c | 53.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe73b…b1e9backed No | 27c | 52.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7da…5edfbacked No | 56c | 51.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 63c | 49.97$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a4…f692backed Yes | 62c | 48.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed No | 26c | 47.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…35f5backed No | 49c | 45.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 67c | 44.34$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 161 | 73.9%119 W · 42 L | +12.6wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…fe5cbacked No | 34c | 43.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…5ec5backed No | 46c | 43.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…ac99backed No | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb98…0f80backed No | 37c | 40.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8a…6ef8backed No | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c3…0d01backed Yes | 70c | 39.09$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb70c…0af4backed No | 37c | 37.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a9…c87abacked No | 34c | 33.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…56f3backed No | 31c | 32.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cb…a5dfbacked Yes | 64c | 30.16$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…f0c7backed Yes | 68c | 29.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 71c | 28.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecf8…603bbacked Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 59cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc02a…01aabacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ff…acadbacked Yes | 55c | 27.24$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x078e…7952backed No | 48c | 26.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…d6f0backed Yes | 78c | 25.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…b2fcbacked Yes | 68c | 25.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 59c | 22.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…cbbebacked Yes | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa4…5d6fbacked Yes | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8d…6d9cbacked Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…a4fcbacked Yes | 73c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +328.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb62…d14fbacked Yes | 68c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Yes | 70c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.52 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Donald Trump say "Bibi" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?this page
- Will Donald Trump say "AI" or "artificial intelligence" during Israel President events on December 29?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "F-35" during Israel President events on December 29?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hamas" or "Hezbollah" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Hanukkah" or "Chanukah" during Israel President events on December 29?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Syria" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "Turkey" or "Erdogan" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "border" during Israel President events on December 29?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "eighth war" or "eight wars" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "hell" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "hostage" 4+ times during Israel President events on December 29?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "nuclear" 3+ times during Israel President events on December 29?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "pardon" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say "phase two" or "second phase" during Israel President events on December 29?No won
- Will Donald Trump say "real peace" or "legitimate peace" during Israel President events on December 29?Yes won
- Will Donald Trump say the N-word during Israel President events on December 29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.