MLB · resolved market
Red Sox vs. Nationals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbda19e3d0e7f63390d5b7a441cd176c77a957856e4122a3370354a7c2573771e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Red Soxof Red Sox, Nationals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $337,960
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $421,359
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $337,960 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Nationals | 33c | 142,618$46,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,899.8 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Red Sox | 67c | 40,000$26,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,200 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Red Sox | 67c | 28,820$19,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,510.58 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Red Sox | 67c | 12,093$8,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,955.41 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Red Sox | 67c | 10,303$6,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,384.49 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…5653backed Red Sox | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +103%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…c97bbacked Nationals | 30c | 9,999$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 13c | 7,864$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.67 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Red Sox | 68c | 6,615$4,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120.61 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Red Sox | 70c | 6,186$4,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.29 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Nationals | 18c | 5,932$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.66 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Red Sox | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Nationals | 31c | 4,993$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.69 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Nationals | 10c | 4,637$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.73 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Nationals | 30c | 4,475$1,342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,342.39 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe877…bb43backed Nationals | 12c | 4,012$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Nationals | 12c | 3,927$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.48 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Nationals | 30c | 2,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Nationals | 30c | 2,319$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$692.54 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Red Sox | 70c | 2,009$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602.7 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Nationals | 20c | 1,569$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.66 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…cb7dbacked Red Sox | 69c | 1,455$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Red Sox | 69c | 1,420$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.7 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nationals | 10c | 1,325$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.51 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Red Sox | 67c | 1,045$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.85 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Nationals | 19c | 1,036$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Nationals | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Nationals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Red Sox | 69c | 968.28$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.17 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Nationals | 7c | 915.83$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Nationals | 10c | 773.44$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Red Sox | 69c | 768.18$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.14 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Red Sox | 68c | 699.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Nationals | 4c | 686.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.39 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Nationals | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Nationals | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…430cbacked Red Sox | 70c | 478$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.4 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Nationals | 6c | 449.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Nationals | 5c | 433.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.57 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Red Sox | 69c | 399.98$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Red Sox | 70c | 384.26$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Red Sox | 72c | 357.01$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.01 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed Nationals | 12c | 313.44$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.47 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Red Sox | 72c | 310.69$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.69 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Nationals | 10c | 300.11$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Red Sox | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Nationals | 4c | 300$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 28c | 300$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Red Sox | 69c | 297.1$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.1 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Red Sox | 68c | 294$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…3d27backed Nationals | 21c | 292.75$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Red Sox | 69c | 287.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.78 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Red Sox | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Red Sox | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 28c | 260.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.79 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Nationals | 14c | 258.23$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.42 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Nationals | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Red Sox | 69c | 214.07$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Red Sox | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…cfe5backed Red Sox | 72c | 188.33$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Nationals | 11c | 177.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 9c | 169.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…7624backed Nationals | 13c | 164.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x670d…fbe9backed Nationals | 32c | 160$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Nationals | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Nationals | 9c | 145.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Red Sox | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Red Sox | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a2…7f83backed Red Sox | 74c | 135.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.48 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…d29ebacked Nationals | 13c | 132.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x232e…b1eebacked Red Sox | 73c | 113.69$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.87 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.23per pick | 67cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Red Sox | 69c | 111.8$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866d…4d7dbacked Nationals | 29c | 111.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe164…340bbacked Red Sox | 73c | 109.59$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02f9…2e3bbacked Red Sox | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…b3e8backed Nationals | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 291 | 45.4%132 W · 159 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2165…f598backed Nationals | 25c | 78.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.59 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 30c | 75.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.58 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x157b…87dcbacked Red Sox | 73c | 71.23$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 27 | 85.2%23 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4078…22ddbacked Nationals | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a6…f48bbacked Nationals | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Red Sox | 68c | 61$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Red Sox | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b61…c9eebacked Red Sox | 71c | 54.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Red Sox | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 209 | 54.5%114 W · 95 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c12…93a7backed Nationals | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Red Sox | 76c | 47.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nationals | 32c | 44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Red Sox | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0294…edb0backed Red Sox | 71c | 42.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec07…6111backed Red Sox | 73c | 41.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc061…a297backed Red Sox | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fb…e7ddbacked Red Sox | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.76 | 169 | 83.4%141 W · 28 L | +20.1wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7148…cdd8backed Red Sox | 73c | 38.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Red Sox | 69c | 36.23$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…9d12backed Nationals | 30c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c14fbacked Nationals | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a1…ad7bbacked Red Sox | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…ab8fbacked Red Sox | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89ca…5b45backed Red Sox | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.