Token Launches · resolved market
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x62362d5847b95fa110698a6c6313e9b6a2565567ac53ba849e2266ff384eda45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $538,472
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $624,539
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $538,472 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 211 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3475…795cbacked Yes | 53c | 73,786$38,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,928.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x471b…b18fbacked No | 41c | 52,469$21,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,692.29 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…6696backed No | 32c | 51,353$16,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,607.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…5ea8backed Yes | 75c | 43,739$32,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,970.85 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d3…9e93backed Yes | 68c | 35,083$23,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,109.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0397…000dbacked No | 12c | 21,743$2,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,554.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca75…657fbacked No | 43c | 18,877$8,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,069.71 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +200.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde66…6981backed Yes | 59c | 15,758$9,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,393.98 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 26c | 12,293$3,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,138.61 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b39…0d96backed Yes | 49c | 12,002$5,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,092.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…625bbacked No | 46c | 11,182$5,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,131.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked No | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.59 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 54c | 9,732$5,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,439.53 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fba…02bebacked No | 37c | 9,413$3,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 8,035$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.8 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa64…969dbacked Yes | 80c | 8,014$6,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,611.85 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f3…652ebacked No | 34c | 7,861$2,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,668.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3e…5c4ebacked No | 12c | 7,402$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.28 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc2…98a6backed Yes | 63c | 6,500$4,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,385 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5323backed Yes | 67c | 6,265$4,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,096.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 45c | 5,948$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677.01 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x371c…b37ebacked No | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…ca85backed Yes | 68c | 4,366$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2858…fa20backed No | 16c | 4,345$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a2…a8e8backed No | 10c | 3,838$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b1…8887backed No | 42c | 3,364$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 3c | 3,300$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08a9…fd57backed Yes | 63c | 3,018$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…b3ddbacked Yes | 77c | 3,005$2,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.55 | 104 | 62.5%65 W · 39 L | +13.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81d8…fdaebacked Yes | 65c | 2,942$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +87.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5021…9906backed Yes | 79c | 2,913$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.15 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef51…83cebacked No | 7c | 2,875$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1d…3c6ebacked Yes | 64c | 2,836$1,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.21 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…aaaebacked Yes | 70c | 2,813$1,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3f…e9fbbacked No | 6c | 2,775$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed Yes | 66c | 2,644$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893.63 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee5…83d6backed No | 40c | 2,525$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 58c | 2,400$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.99 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e5…e255backed Yes | 72c | 2,300$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +116.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed No | 39c | 2,114$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.5 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…3e45backed No | 21c | 2,041$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.8 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3022…59c1backed No | 35c | 2,000$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe95e…61f2backed No | 50c | 1,985$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.87 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked No | 45c | 1,786$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55cd…a195backed No | 7c | 1,736$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…362cbacked Yes | 65c | 1,677$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.3 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 25c | 1,651$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.53 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f2…5bc4backed No | 27c | 1,577$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…5a98backed Yes | 70c | 1,572$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea5…766fbacked No | 18c | 1,526$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.42 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 23c | 1,397$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.08 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae1…1e7ebacked No | 35c | 1,103$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95c…7a0cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,092$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7b…dccfbacked No | 46c | 1,078$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9afe…b9e5backed No | 35c | 1,056$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe685…6633backed Yes | 59c | 1,050$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8da…0f5abacked No | 29c | 1,014$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 9c | 984.61$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.61 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 14cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…4349backed No | 32c | 925.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…0776backed Yes | 52c | 890$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…a32abacked Yes | 60c | 864.82$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…743abacked Yes | 63c | 861.3$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35a3…2a32backed No | 4c | 848.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.95 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed No | 3c | 717.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe588…359bbacked Yes | 56c | 710.82$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb779…b997backed Yes | 71c | 707.26$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7093…c7f9backed Yes | 75c | 646.82$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…3ee9backed No | 5c | 619.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 46c | 612.08$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.07 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe373…4149backed No | 17c | 600.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2197…f52dbacked No | 43c | 589.5$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.68 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf582…fe49backed No | 6c | 574.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…ca23backed Yes | 65c | 543.46$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.41 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.2wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…2501backed No | 40c | 525.63$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.73 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…f72fbacked No | 5c | 521.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e34…2b46backed No | 10c | 521.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e37…386bbacked No | 42c | 506$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…cb3bbacked No | 41c | 482.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc45…9fdfbacked Yes | 80c | 474.08$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.08 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa773…3f22backed No | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb329…a14cbacked No | 47c | 443.15$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +29%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked Yes | 66c | 431.82$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…81fdbacked Yes | 61c | 419$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb400…886bbacked Yes | 63c | 417.66$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed Yes | 73c | 410.1$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.41 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…30c2backed No | 40c | 401.88$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…11a9backed Yes | 58c | 395.46$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc230…6192backed Yes | 56c | 378.78$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.93 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…21fbbacked No | 37c | 367.86$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2d…1039backed No | 28c | 363.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 57c | 358.73$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.99 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked No | 13c | 339.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.8 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0140…9510backed No | 38c | 332.56$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 61c | 325$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.75 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…a1d8backed No | 23c | 324$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb995…3c76backed Yes | 62c | 320.84$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +170.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…eccdbacked Yes | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?this page
- WLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes won
- WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.