Token Launches · resolved market
WLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85377964d938ab711c7b99ba945f742146374612590ba701df9817d18d5f7ca2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,798
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35a3…2a32backed No | 16c | 67,679$11,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,106.09 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…feb5backed No | 29c | 39,880$11,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,497.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…c7c3backed No | 33c | 24,001$7,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,910.9 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -71.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 11,372$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.82 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3e…5c4ebacked No | 25c | 10,875$2,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,747.05 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5021…9906backed Yes | 75c | 10,870$8,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ec…2d0ebacked No | 21c | 9,820$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.23 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 30cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd199…28acbacked Yes | 69c | 5,221$3,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe89c…6696backed No | 23c | 3,007$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 36c | 2,564$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.17 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf985…d7bcbacked Yes | 75c | 2,416$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…4349backed No | 22c | 2,407$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe49a…ff17backed Yes | 66c | 2,239$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 79c | 2,204$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.51 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +6.2wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ae…f72fbacked No | 23c | 1,783$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 27c | 1,635$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.27 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 10c | 1,608$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.04 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ac…c2aabacked Yes | 60c | 1,544$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.55 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…627dbacked Yes | 78c | 1,539$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc781…59d7backed No | 48c | 1,501$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b2…eb68backed Yes | 69c | 1,367$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…5ccdbacked No | 33c | 1,309$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.36 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Yes | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…3e45backed No | 44c | 1,230$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.96 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa84f…bc44backed No | 51c | 1,201$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.38 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 75c | 1,148$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.55 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…0c09backed Yes | 77c | 1,096$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42d8…ff9bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,020$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x771d…440ebacked Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 75cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25c…36fcbacked Yes | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…5822backed No | 12c | 999.55$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58dd…6ff5backed No | 28c | 991.87$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.84 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 33cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65aa…6db2backed No | 12c | 919$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3f…e9fbbacked No | 13c | 909$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20f8…1430backed No | 12c | 842.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47ab…95dfbacked No | 39c | 824.14$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea5…766fbacked No | 16c | 815.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.44 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…f582backed No | 4c | 757.81$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -35%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…10b2backed Yes | 72c | 711.69$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Yes | 80c | 625$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e5a…d56ebacked No | 27c | 557.83$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.15 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed No | 28c | 534$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4775…c57dbacked No | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0020…0d22backed No | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x289d…6576backed No | 28c | 357.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b97…0efebacked Yes | 64c | 309.99$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.3 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +6.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0894…d819backed Yes | 68c | 305.63$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.63 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…6fa2backed No | 8c | 299$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Yes | 51c | 290.02$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.11 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122a…16e0backed No | 38c | 261.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe2…8f16backed Yes | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f2…2691backed Yes | 68c | 249.85$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c66…6b66backed No | 33c | 249$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa773…3f22backed No | 30c | 201.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…194bbacked No | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0397…000dbacked No | 17c | 187.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc7…8f89backed No | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.31per pick | 24cpaid | +331.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…0776backed Yes | 56c | 175.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 37c | 173.67$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 212 | 40.6%86 W · 126 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d27…4f3cbacked No | 23c | 170.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 12c | 150$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…5c3abacked No | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78e2…5e42backed Yes | 68c | 146.49$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fb…96c5backed No | 41c | 142.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6639…650bbacked No | 31c | 140.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b7…e251backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…351dbacked Yes | 80c | 123.75$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e34…2b46backed No | 25c | 122.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 24c | 114.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 204 | 22.1%45 W · 159 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc11e…7eedbacked No | 10c | 104$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb468…a91fbacked No | 45c | 102.64$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…fb21backed No | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6e…470cbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed No | 27c | 99.87$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…d024backed No | 13c | 80$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ce…07fcbacked Yes | 79c | 69.49$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 16c | 66.44$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 169 | 27.8%47 W · 122 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 73c | 64$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b7…6c89backed No | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db4…9c07backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…5e10backed No | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed No | 35c | 47.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb06…542dbacked No | 27c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6283…5b24backed Yes | 80c | 30.29$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9afd…3028backed Yes | 73c | 27.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86ec…8f93backed No | 38c | 27.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa314…5ba7backed Yes | 72c | 23.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed8…29e8backed Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…91edbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 70c | 16.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- WLFI >$20B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?this page
- WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes won
- WLFI >$35B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.