Token Launches · resolved market
Will DOGE hit 69¢ by Inauguration Day?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78c1ab2ecc23e5b271174f8ca2a20d78c13f2d461592219bd103880224d6cdc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,677,240
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,416,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,677,240 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 413 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22d9…1888backed Yes | 1c | 269,847$3,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,438.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fa…6c06backed Yes | 2c | 143,738$3,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,503.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 4c | 73,373$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23cf…6dc4backed Yes | 2c | 70,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 17c | 39,114$6,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,779.58 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked Yes | 3c | 38,480$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.85 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd051…3271backed Yes | 2c | 33,409$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c4…3512backed Yes | 1c | 27,728$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 1c | 25,513$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb94b…95dbbacked Yes | 2c | 20,356$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 6c | 20,001$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,229.28 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 2c | 19,029$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.3 | 51 | 0%0 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8f…f082backed Yes | 3c | 18,712$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6af8…bac0backed Yes | 1c | 18,557$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a86…b39ebacked No | 68c | 17,296$11,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,517.24 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 1c | 16,707$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.5 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e9…5798backed Yes | 2c | 15,533$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 1c | 14,427$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0d…c6bebacked Yes | 2c | 13,488$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a5…5ac2backed Yes | 7c | 10,905$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x193a…35c0backed Yes | 4c | 9,976$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.61 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef6…9557backed Yes | 5c | 9,643$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fc…fd7ebacked No | 79c | 9,638$7,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.5 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…b703backed Yes | 1c | 9,041$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96c4…bfdebacked Yes | 3c | 9,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 6cpaid | +170%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5a…4dafbacked Yes | 1c | 8,947$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes | 5c | 8,590$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.88 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb65a…9ea7backed Yes | 5c | 8,567$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…590ebacked Yes | 2c | 8,554$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed Yes | 16c | 8,192$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6f…d79abacked Yes | 2c | 7,759$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d7…2dbfbacked Yes | 1c | 7,174$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ae…a8b3backed Yes | 27c | 7,096$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.98 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325a…3140backed Yes | 3c | 6,765$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc46c…946fbacked Yes | 3c | 6,658$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…8a40backed No | 76c | 6,598$5,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbff0…d930backed Yes | 3c | 6,432$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x401a…1000backed No | 66c | 6,037$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef58…2f14backed Yes | 3c | 5,992$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…3e00backed Yes | 14c | 5,902$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 31c | 5,882$1,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.98 | 79 | 19%15 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2459…8d76backed No | 66c | 5,490$3,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,841.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccf…c90abacked No | 58c | 5,442$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,312.19 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…b3debacked Yes | 4c | 5,415$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.4 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +272.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e63…5ebfbacked Yes | 1c | 5,236$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec6…4f34backed Yes | 1c | 5,155$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…c3f0backed Yes | 2c | 5,096$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb8…3da7backed Yes | 2c | 5,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…a981backed No | 70c | 4,903$3,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x778f…e2c3backed Yes | 2c | 4,821$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked Yes | 1c | 4,760$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 4,651$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.09 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42cb…b392backed Yes | 2c | 4,636$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9af5…da0abacked Yes | 44c | 4,580$2,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,021.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd085…ba5cbacked Yes | 13c | 4,427$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 65c | 4,182$2,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,477.15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2764…a2a8backed Yes | 1c | 4,089$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5021…a8e1backed Yes | 21c | 4,000$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed1…1094backed Yes | 32c | 3,925$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c27…ec9fbacked Yes | 13c | 3,724$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb4…8167backed No | 11c | 3,367$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.03 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +8.1wins | +0.63per pick | 14cpaid | +774.6%equal weight | 74+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed No | 67c | 2,920$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94f…0045backed Yes | 6c | 2,888$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e4…1c59backed Yes | 26c | 2,800$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9a…934fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,673$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes | 14c | 2,570$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.44 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed Yes | 9c | 2,419$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x800f…e161backed Yes | 2c | 2,401$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c7…6c77backed Yes | 2c | 2,322$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacd8…e908backed Yes | 6c | 2,302$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f6…44b6backed No | 68c | 2,291$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a3…046ebacked No | 10c | 2,283$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.37per pick | 13cpaid | +337.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…4fedbacked Yes | 1c | 2,247$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5512…5941backed No | 65c | 2,224$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$787.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d26…4991backed Yes | 1c | 2,100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x823c…5046backed Yes | 20c | 2,099$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…8750backed Yes | 5c | 2,097$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +267.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8505…79f2backed No | 64c | 2,086$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.53 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…cae8backed Yes | 49c | 2,034$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed Yes | 4c | 2,032$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0dc…84e0backed No | 49c | 2,031$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a0…57f8backed Yes | 4c | 2,021$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0b…25f9backed Yes | 1c | 1,969$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb73…a963backed Yes | 26c | 1,891$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked Yes | 2c | 1,889$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ae…1fbabacked Yes | 7c | 1,881$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed Yes | 3c | 1,878$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x614a…6806backed Yes | 53c | 1,876$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ce…d575backed No | 74c | 1,841$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e15…1077backed Yes | 1c | 1,801$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 3c | 1,787$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…d6c2backed Yes | 2c | 1,771$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c21…bd2fbacked Yes | 2c | 1,764$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Yes | 4c | 1,729$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Yes | 33c | 1,686$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.91 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d18…3ae2backed Yes | 3c | 1,675$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcd…39f0backed Yes | 6c | 1,670$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1098backed Yes | 1c | 1,640$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…e8bcbacked Yes | 43c | 1,611$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bf…8763backed Yes | 37c | 1,590$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.68 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.