MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Royals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0b0e31cd96c964eb8c4128c6f5228bad9c6906afe7eead03b8da3ff821e8bfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Royalsof Mets, Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,792
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,481
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,792 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Mets | 4c | 7,834$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Mets | 13c | 6,220$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.83 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Royals | 50c | 5,766$2,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.01 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Royals | 45c | 5,206$2,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.5 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Mets | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Mets | 4c | 3,534$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Mets | 48c | 3,466$1,664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.72 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Royals | 48c | 3,190$1,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.89 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 51cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Mets | 49c | 2,221$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.24 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Royals | 52c | 2,051$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.37 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Mets | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Mets | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mets | 35c | 1,837$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Mets | 1c | 1,526$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 8c | 1,390$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets | 36c | 1,375$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Mets | 49c | 1,208$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.16 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Royals | 75c | 1,114$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.6 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Mets | 50c | 1,112$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.13 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Mets | 17c | 1,048$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.18 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Royals | 53c | 1,038$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.47 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Mets | 30c | 1,017$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked Mets | 50c | 1,005$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Royals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Royals | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Royals | 51c | 980$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.2 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Mets | 47c | 959.21$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.83 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 52c | 750.43$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.95 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Royals | 45c | 743.78$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.06 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Mets | 47c | 719$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.23 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Royals | 60c | 685.08$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.89 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Royals | 56c | 628.48$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.24 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Royals | 51c | 600$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Mets | 42c | 590$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.7 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Mets | 54c | 539.98$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.43 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Mets | 4c | 532.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Royals | 47c | 525.37$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.05 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Mets | 39c | 495.76$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.82 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Mets | 41c | 491.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…3601backed Mets | 53c | 476.1$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.33 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Mets | 12c | 459.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac9…70b0backed Royals | 56c | 452.81$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +125.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 30c | 441.87$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.87 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Royals | 49c | 409$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.59 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Mets | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…8516backed Mets | 50c | 390.8$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.4 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Mets | 22c | 364.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.89 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Royals | 55c | 299.99$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Royals | 51c | 279.98$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.19 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Mets | 51c | 268$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Mets | 55c | 241.12$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.62 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Royals | 44c | 227.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.67 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Royals | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Mets | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Royals | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b94…66c4backed Mets | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Mets | 53c | 190.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Mets | 53c | 187.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Mets | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Royals | 59c | 168.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.17 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa362…f906backed Mets | 50c | 168$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Mets | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x019e…af1dbacked Mets | 52c | 154$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.3wins | -0.33per pick | 52cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Royals | 53c | 150$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 307 | 40.4%124 W · 183 L | -11.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Mets | 45c | 147.07$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed Mets | 50c | 130.32$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 259 | 52.5%136 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Mets | 34c | 130.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc6…949abacked Mets | 17c | 121.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Mets | 28c | 113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Mets | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Royals | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Mets | 53c | 99.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Mets | 15c | 99.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Royals | 67c | 90.21$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.21 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Mets | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…d1cabacked Mets | 25c | 81.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Royals | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…0176backed Mets | 52c | 77.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e60…2141backed Mets | 17c | 75.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Mets | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Mets | 53c | 72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked Mets | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Mets | 52c | 69.23$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Royals | 67c | 67.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.27 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…7624backed Royals | 50c | 63.42$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.42 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Mets | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc839…2930backed Mets | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7670…4e33backed Royals | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mets | 52c | 60.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Royals | 67c | 53.65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.96 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa998…dec1backed Mets | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x416c…5db5backed Royals | 45c | 53.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440b…d50cbacked Mets | 30c | 52.62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.79 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Royals | 47c | 51.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked Royals | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 504 | 47.2%238 W · 266 L | +29.6wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed Mets | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Mets | 51c | 45.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Royals | 45c | 45.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 255 | 50.2%128 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.