TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Token Launches · resolved market

$PNUT listed on Coinbase in 2024?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$529,361
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$426,498

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $529,361 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 360 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2d5…2884backed No0c31,834$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,686.51450%2 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick12cpaid+5,352.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x97d2…e372backed No15c21,055$3,207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,847.95540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid+97.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72b9…3883backed No1c16,799$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,628.881100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+9,753.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7287…56d5backed No3c7,760$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,533.952100%2 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+1,690%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbceb…bd96backed Yes28c7,476$2,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,056.4340%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x579d…93ffbacked No30c6,682$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,681.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+234.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ad…ce31backed No2c5,642$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,533.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+2,640.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f9…b3debacked No4c5,054$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,853.83456.7%3 W · 42 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick3cpaid+272.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2653…d0f4backed No1c5,045$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,994.69425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick2cpaid+2,410.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cf9…9d9fbacked Yes72c5,000$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,599.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc360…0c46backed Yes42c4,713$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a99…f209backed No30c4,651$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f1d…98cdbacked Yes22c4,274$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No32c4,250$1,365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.863174.2%23 W · 8 L+8.0wins+0.26per pick48cpaid+44.1%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x213c…0facbacked No1c4,222$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,184.22450%2 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+2,719.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56b2…5b2cbacked Yes3c4,181$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5820%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed No16c3,989$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,350.54250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47bc…abd2backed No72c3,873$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,081.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick32cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0384…df9ebacked Yes17c3,337$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+54.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4f…c44bbacked No60c3,193$1,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.751631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-51%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd889…cf51backed No7c3,122$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,892.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,262.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd5b4…770dbacked No5c3,007$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,869.282045%9 W · 11 L+3.4wins+0.17per pick28cpaid+281.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x404a…575dbacked No6c2,904$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,720.764647.8%22 W · 24 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+55.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8387…71e0backed Yes34c2,884$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.621020%2 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-53%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf123…686fbacked No2c2,756$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,700.88520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick13cpaid+900%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…8a67backed No52c2,575$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.261560%9 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x531a…da3cbacked No14c2,500$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1601100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+635.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0983…7adbbacked No67c2,497$1,674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.25250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2523…7038backed No4c2,488$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,391.441100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,466.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd06f…d4a6backed No71c2,401$1,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$697.452450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Yes22c2,386$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb524…9558backed Yes5c2,055$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95ce…0527backed No2c2,000$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9641100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+5,455.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3b7b…f74ebacked No67c1,992$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.73977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick59cpaid+36.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb99…6844backed No2c1,958$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,922.85933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+552.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9588…d801backed No7c1,766$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,636.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+680.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96b5…f5e7backed Yes53c1,760$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.431844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-13.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x077c…ae05backed No6c1,739$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,639.27250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick6cpaid+769.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc2a…97aabacked Yes77c1,738$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.781020%2 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x43e6…afd7backed No2c1,704$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,662.12250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+1,925%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd400…aad6backed No18c1,672$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,372.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+457.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked No1c1,663$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.26571.8%1 W · 56 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+116.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31c0…8d4fbacked Yes33c1,653$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+85.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes48c1,621$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.957919%15 W · 64 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-63.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaddb…7c73backed Yes3c1,613$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc011…0a62backed Yes67c1,563$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.35per pick68cpaid-54.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3355…ff63backed No1c1,557$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,544.461100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.99per pick1cpaid+12,490.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes35c1,544$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.8433329.7%99 W · 234 L+0.2wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72d6…1c32backed No1c1,538$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.47520%1 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick6cpaid+2,101.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e0…d485backed No7c1,518$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,264.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f2…ce14backed Yes4c1,514$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0a2…a349backed No18c1,483$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.628052.5%42 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf4ff…8750backed No7c1,472$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.66425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+267.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c1…19adbacked No75c1,388$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes35c1,322$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc390…28bdbacked Yes41c1,242$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.64575.3%3 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick13cpaid+48.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf463…a274backed No10c1,193$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,075.9333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.25per pick8cpaid+239.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e55…59a8backed No35c1,159$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$758.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+189.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a9c…33bfbacked Yes5c1,145$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Yes12c1,114$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc658…b784backed No15c1,100$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$934.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37a1…4effbacked No7c1,076$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,417.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6f…25f8backed No28c1,072$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.971741.2%7 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick26cpaid+91.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed No28c1,061$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.454450%22 W · 22 L+6.7wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+95.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8410…c718backed No7c1,005$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$929.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.93per pick7cpaid+1,233.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5e3…77e0backed No2c1,000$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9821100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+5,455.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60b0…5ea2backed Yes3c1,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb02f…a77ebacked No2c1,000$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick7cpaid+2,531.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5f8…c356backed No75c999.99$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06b…4faebacked No3c982.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.98922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid+272.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00a6…9343backed No70c967.91$679 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.01580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed No72c951.38$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.281241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9377…aed8backed Yes36c938.92$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d84…7cffbacked No3c886.58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.581100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,446.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa98…4a57backed No52c878.98$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.931580%12 W · 3 L+4.4wins+0.29per pick51cpaid+59.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xf5cc…9a24backed No3c856.17$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.321100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.97per pick3cpaid+3,089%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb21…51bebacked No27c851.89$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.891050%5 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+51.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa2f8…aef5backed No6c849.96$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,569.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb2a…a436backed Yes29c836.42$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.2330%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f07…8609backed Yes34c815.7$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.3420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb8…3da7backed No77c809.99$623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick26cpaid-78.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e80…3082backed No35c809.88$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+189.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8975…e6dbbacked Yes14c783$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.71520%1 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-57.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e6…50aebacked No12c782.81$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.881145.5%5 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick17cpaid+225.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes28c720$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.6333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-45.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc20e…2dd8backed Yes18c717.56$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Yes22c716.78$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.872218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-58.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes22c713.59$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.334316.3%7 W · 36 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-55.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x877a…7276backed Yes72c709.36$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.672638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick45cpaid+19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0457…c82bbacked No14c701.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick33cpaid+174.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x41ea…18f9backed No2c700.91$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.311100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.98per pick2cpaid+5,462.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked No10c668.32$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.21850%4 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+108.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x013d…3e88backed No64c667.99$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.091637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cee…0cc9backed No2c666$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.01425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+1,288.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe61…4665backed Yes11c650.28$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.53933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde79…06abbacked Yes7c636.62$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.84721.3%10 W · 37 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x48d3…30babacked No65c611.15$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.63850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x440d…55e6backed No61c600$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234540%2 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+113%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe950…acddbacked No75c595.95$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9a1…35fabacked Yes3c574$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-31.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.