Olympics · resolved market
Will Djamel Sedjati (ALG) win gold in 800m M?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2539552e1a743192d57bb4999aa2a416bec070cffa272ff11dbbbe8c640919c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6691…17cfbacked Yes | 1c | 16,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8297…1708backed Yes | 1c | 12,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked No | 36c | 4,268$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,731.67 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x741e…2f80backed Yes | 64c | 2,844$1,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,817.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…01bdbacked Yes | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 37c | 740.1$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.98 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b3…0786backed Yes | 60c | 416.49$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…552fbacked No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…a5afbacked Yes | 63c | 158.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…902bbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b7…3873backed Yes | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 60cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c6…b942backed No | 40c | 122.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27e2…2c85backed Yes | 62c | 120$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed No | 36c | 101.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.20per pick | 25cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 34c | 100.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99ca…f9e6backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…33fbbacked Yes | 64c | 80.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.07 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…463cbacked Yes | 54c | 80$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb99…99ccbacked No | 39c | 80$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.8wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3b…60b5backed No | 41c | 72.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed No | 50c | 71.95$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa248…04eebacked Yes | 71c | 70.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b8…da98backed Yes | 69c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 52c | 49.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.66 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4c8…3e97backed No | 23c | 48.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.74 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 15cpaid | +215.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x968e…3303backed No | 49c | 48.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes | 59c | 46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…c3d4backed No | 32c | 44.61$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.31 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcc…b202backed Yes | 70c | 41.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 40c | 32.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 35cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34d0…50b9backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4842…7c89backed Yes | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63b4…94ddbacked No | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d43…d842backed No | 49c | 28.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90db…46cbbacked Yes | 45c | 23.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 43cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba57…e2b7backed No | 49c | 22.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Djamel Sedjati (ALG) win gold in 800m M?this page
- Will Bryce Hoppel (USA) win gold in 800m M?No won
- Will Emmanuel Wanyonyi (KEN) win gold in 800m M?Yes won
- Will Gabriel Tual (FRA) win gold in 800m M?No won
- Will another athlete win gold in 800m M?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.