Fed Rates · resolved market
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ffce6a1a34fb4c009b4d40a85ab26d98428116fc23980dfa19d4fe00acb5fc1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $161,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc210…4666backed No | 61c | 35,912$21,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,906.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e305backed Yes | 39c | 35,912$14,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,906.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 44cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272c…2c93backed No | 63c | 34,618$21,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,809.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04e…560dbacked Yes | 37c | 34,618$12,809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,809.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5091…23e9backed No | 62c | 2,671$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,663.14 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e9…d7f2backed Yes | 44c | 2,454$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.89 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c8…5ababacked No | 56c | 1,585$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.97 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1102…1822backed Yes | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 52c | 991.34$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.36 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af4…0bd2backed Yes | 40c | 985$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed No | 51c | 776.85$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.54 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed No | 46c | 750.23$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.23 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x259d…5246backed No | 60c | 740$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2821…135bbacked No | 62c | 740$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 40c | 664.9$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…2cd0backed No | 59c | 499.93$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.96 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 52c | 472.43$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.42 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…a880backed Yes | 44c | 468.3$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.07 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 55c | 455.41$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.26 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ca…64dfbacked Yes | 47c | 400$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed No | 57c | 400$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc57b…0a2bbacked Yes | 51c | 390.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.77 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 31c | 349.55$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.66 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 60c | 337.38$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 4c | 312$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | +432.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 4c | 311.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +150%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 61c | 297.5$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 33c | 280$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…d287backed No | 61c | 260$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf282…0b22backed No | 62c | 260$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c37…1d33backed No | 60c | 260$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 40c | 259.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.72 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1560…7ad5backed Yes | 39c | 212.12$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed No | 58c | 210$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…0116backed Yes | 50c | 200.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefdb…7358backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 53c | 199.99$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7494…6e0bbacked Yes | 40c | 185$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed No | 52c | 181$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Yes | 33c | 176.06$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ff…9f4abacked Yes | 41c | 157$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 29cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 40c | 150$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed Yes | 42c | 149.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…0a49backed Yes | 34c | 132.88$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7295…fc62backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked No | 47c | 114.34$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.94 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 38c | 111.87$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 86 | 26.7%23 W · 63 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a98…5950backed No | 52c | 105.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 48c | 103.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead7…003abacked No | 62c | 102.68$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…3afcbacked No | 50c | 100.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Yes | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed No | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…a189backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb34…2423backed No | 53c | 94.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked No | 62c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 65cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…57febacked Yes | 33c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.6 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24bd…3f74backed Yes | 39c | 77.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…fb06backed Yes | 41c | 68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e29…1a0cbacked Yes | 39c | 64.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.49 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeae…5917backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 47c | 58.45$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.98 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…f20bbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed Yes | 38c | 49.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 43cpaid | +87.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…ddccbacked Yes | 38c | 45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed No | 53c | 40$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa73b…66abbacked Yes | 40c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked Yes | 34c | 35.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…fbc2backed Yes | 69c | 35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1028…3a85backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 41c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed No | 47c | 28.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked No | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…1328backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…4fe8backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffde…219dbacked No | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…56dcbacked No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153c…82c8backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f05…c280backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe499…1599backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa15…e315backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c98…a58bbacked No | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5517…ab11backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…51b0backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?this page
- Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Comment" during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Downbeat" during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Energy" during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Immigration" during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Median" during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Obvious" during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Recession" during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Summer" during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Unemployment" 15+ times during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Volatile" during June Press Conference?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.