Fed Rates · resolved market
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf2b37b517820dde52edf9e99f057c6826e0417058a7ccb075d21926ef29c81ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $306,264
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $307,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,264 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 133 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8b39…7729backed No | 41c | 37,721$15,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,255.39 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2a…2fe6backed Yes | 59c | 37,721$22,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,255.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c4…71b9backed Yes | 41c | 36,672$15,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,035.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa733…cd61backed No | 59c | 36,672$21,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,035.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe346…82abbacked Yes | 47c | 30,458$14,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,315.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…c765backed No | 53c | 30,458$16,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,315.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf918…bcd3backed No | 57c | 27,912$15,910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,002.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ce…e4d3backed Yes | 43c | 27,912$12,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,002.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked No | 56c | 9,786$5,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,295.63 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 44c | 5,113$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.82 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked Yes | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba4…f8c2backed Yes | 53c | 2,128$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 41c | 1,853$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.21 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2227…b572backed No | 52c | 1,851$966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.98 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +10.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5085…d8a4backed Yes | 6c | 1,836$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 54c | 1,377$738 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.33 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +51%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…0bf2backed Yes | 41c | 1,092$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.24 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd8…c5cebacked No | 53c | 1,050$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbab…2cd0backed Yes | 48c | 1,023$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.73 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,020$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.63 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…96ecbacked No | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 54c | 856.11$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.75 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed No | 52c | 800$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6917…7279backed No | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…958cbacked Yes | 58c | 700$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 55c | 659.34$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.81 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e8…f0abbacked Yes | 47c | 640$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd274…df4ebacked Yes | 47c | 615$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacb…8aa4backed Yes | 47c | 580$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf72…aea6backed No | 53c | 560$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf258…0cebbacked Yes | 47c | 555$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…68fabacked Yes | 49c | 555$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe92…d51abacked Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +71%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…71cdbacked Yes | 34c | 488.12$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 50c | 464$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 54c | 460.27$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.13 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…66fbbacked No | 56c | 448.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x499e…9ea3backed No | 53c | 435$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 70c | 337.26$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.59 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa147…3fccbacked No | 63c | 319.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.03 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bf…bc05backed Yes | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…c040backed No | 64c | 300$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Yes | 48c | 299.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f57…d626backed Yes | 47c | 285$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes | 39c | 271.33$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.94 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +7.0wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…6e4bbacked Yes | 41c | 258.02$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.79 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a03…6e17backed Yes | 38c | 242$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4da…2db1backed Yes | 40c | 225$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe5f…89c1backed Yes | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec63…85ddbacked Yes | 49c | 202.72$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 72 | 65.3%47 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…0c46backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed No | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 47c | 199.64$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.7 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x308e…def2backed No | 51c | 190$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3c…9f63backed No | 53c | 190$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7afebacked Yes | 37c | 187$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.01 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 45c | 172.48$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6259…8699backed No | 48c | 166.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.98 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +361.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf0…d55dbacked Yes | 47c | 165$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed Yes | 42c | 144$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6aa…24d5backed Yes | 47c | 130$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d76…5e81backed Yes | 49c | 129.99$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0864…b3d0backed Yes | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00c1…5b99backed Yes | 48c | 124.57$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebaa…94e5backed Yes | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5631…a679backed Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…fdbcbacked Yes | 48c | 113.9$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 41c | 107.65$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4fe…d287backed Yes | 49c | 105$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…2198backed Yes | 47c | 105$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc516…5f28backed No | 60c | 101.79$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…14cdbacked No | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…0f76backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…3eaabacked Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba5…4f56backed No | 55c | 94.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82c1…0217backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes | 74c | 78.15$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.83 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbd…2503backed No | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…fc7cbacked Yes | 56c | 71.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…b6d3backed Yes | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 42c | 69.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.39 | 59 | 30.5%18 W · 41 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 26c | 57.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 43c | 56.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06c6…4162backed No | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac45…20c5backed Yes | 46c | 52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.92 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.4wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…0cf5backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 36cpaid | -87%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x932b…64c0backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8609…c23fbacked No | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0306…e85cbacked Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb429…bd15backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…e333backed Yes | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked No | 57c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?this page
- Will Powell say "China" during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Comment" during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Downbeat" during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Energy" during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Immigration" during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Judge" during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Median" during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Obvious" during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Recession" during June Press Conference?No won
- Will Powell say "Summer" during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Unemployment" 15+ times during June Press Conference?Yes won
- Will Powell say "Volatile" during June Press Conference?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.