Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8abe706498395f0b044379a43c8b78903c258f89a615a67cfd891ad29928cffc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,444
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,054
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,444 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 9c | 3,708$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344 | 141 | 25.5%36 W · 105 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…e811backed Yes | 78c | 3,494$2,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 1c | 2,939$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.67 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 21c | 2,881$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.79 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…13b5backed No | 49c | 2,510$1,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,236.36 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…fabdbacked No | 34c | 2,268$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.71 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 60c | 2,046$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.34 | 219 | 35.2%77 W · 142 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 65c | 1,730$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.04 | 326 | 26.4%86 W · 240 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed Yes | 76c | 1,458$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.07 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 43c | 1,425$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.89 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 33c | 1,331$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$896.06 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 27c | 1,140$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.44 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…d428backed No | 44c | 1,128$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.73 | 142 | 30.3%43 W · 99 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 44c | 1,093$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.51 | 57 | 56.1%32 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed No | 27c | 1,084$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.96 | 135 | 40%54 W · 81 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c8…9be6backed No | 2c | 930.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 3c | 892.76$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.78 | 111 | 20.7%23 W · 88 L | +10.9wins | +0.10per pick | 11cpaid | +212.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6380…e74fbacked No | 19c | 886.35$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.56 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd069…e72ebacked Yes | 45c | 884.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.19 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Yes | 71c | 845.52$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.62 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x97d3…3f3cbacked No | 57c | 806$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 797.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.76 | 963 | 19.8%191 W · 772 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7319…0299backed Yes | 50c | 744.43$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 2c | 735.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.31 | 146 | 24.7%36 W · 110 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed Yes | 69c | 725.48$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.48 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd4b…75eabacked Yes | 72c | 706.77$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cf…c486backed No | 30c | 675.02$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…33d7backed Yes | 42c | 667.13$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.76 | 320 | 29.1%93 W · 227 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 6c | 644.32$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 608.13$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 441 | 11.3%50 W · 391 L | -44.5wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 57c | 583.33$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.17 | 30 | 13.3%4 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…b63dbacked No | 17c | 574.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0013…3c30backed Yes | 44c | 574.05$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.05 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed No | 67c | 574$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.36 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…6038backed Yes | 78c | 568.76$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed Yes | 66c | 561.78$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.73 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c76…f344backed No | 25c | 560$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e7…fc5bbacked No | 52c | 550$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 62c | 500$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 204 | 46.6%95 W · 109 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb1…bf68backed Yes | 38c | 500$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 73c | 471.26$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.82 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed Yes | 44c | 431.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.91 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 47cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 25c | 312.98$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.01 | 184 | 45.1%83 W · 101 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed No | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 150 | 32.7%49 W · 101 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x502b…a1d5backed No | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 67c | 300$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 30c | 284.87$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.52 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed Yes | 74c | 280$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.09 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b9…6048backed No | 24c | 270$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -5.0wins | -0.26per pick | 42cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa50f…84cdbacked Yes | 40c | 251.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c17…6a7ebacked Yes | 67c | 248.86$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.01 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 36c | 219.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.76 | 567 | 33.2%188 W · 379 L | -40.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 31c | 212.78$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.67 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 31c | 205.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.48 | 336 | 27.4%92 W · 244 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…cc64backed No | 29c | 204.32$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.45 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x355e…a038backed Yes | 68c | 198.7$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2d…a101backed Yes | 79c | 189.64$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd7…0e39backed Yes | 43c | 186.7$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Yes | 57c | 174.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.66 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04dc…2387backed Yes | 64c | 173$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.33 | 139 | 43.2%60 W · 79 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 30c | 161.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 126 | 31.7%40 W · 86 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Yes | 54c | 156.1$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.07 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 36c | 154.95$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed No | 45c | 144.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked Yes | 55c | 142.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe0dc…3944backed Yes | 79c | 137.02$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…d14bbacked Yes | 34c | 127.8$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf950…81d1backed No | 36c | 106$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f7…fa11backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b1…d224backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 33c | 99.17$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90be…c800backed Yes | 53c | 98.91$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.49 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd6…5ddabacked Yes | 42c | 95.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.29per pick | 32cpaid | +153.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1c…c7c4backed Yes | 80c | 92.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd89b…21e6backed Yes | 48c | 86.67$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc320…7637backed No | 29c | 85.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked No | 53c | 83.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6946…59b2backed No | 60c | 82$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.32 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3d…498abacked No | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…a9f3backed Yes | 70c | 80$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…d826backed Yes | 41c | 73.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.54 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc434…f25ebacked Yes | 46c | 71.74$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.74 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6677…4ea3backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c27…1555backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -6.4wins | -0.24per pick | 67cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…5bb5backed No | 36c | 69.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa613…c263backed No | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.41per pick | 57cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe3…00b9backed No | 57c | 62.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97cc…bbbfbacked Yes | 38c | 53.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.09 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…12cfbacked Yes | 58c | 52.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3868…6ba8backed Yes | 64c | 51$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5437…7e5abacked No | 61c | 50.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e83…9394backed No | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?this page
- Will Trump talk to Ahmed Al Shara in August?No won
- Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in August?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?No won
- Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in August?No won
- Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in August?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Friedrich Merz in August?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Jair Bolsonaro in August?No won
- Will Trump talk to Jerome Powell in August?No won
- Will Trump talk to Keir Starmer in August?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Kim Jong Un in August?No won
- Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?No won
- Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in August?No won
- Will Trump talk to Pope Leo in August?No won
- Will Trump talk to Recep Tayyip Erdoğan in August?No won
- Will Trump talk to Ursula von der Leyen in August?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?Yes won
- Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in August?No won
- Will Trump talk to Yoon Suk Yeol in August?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.