TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Us Politics · resolved market

Will Trump talk to Benjamin Netanyahu in August?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$13,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,225 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Us Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7bb3…2682backed No12c900$107 inLost-$107.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52f9…e1c7backed No23c860.4$200 inLost-$2002744.4%12 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1fe…423abacked No20c593$117 inLost-$117.3114125.5%36 W · 105 L+0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75ac…33d7backed Yes79c588.3$465 inWon+$122.9232029.1%93 W · 227 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd685…8be9backed Yes78c500$390 inWon+$1106256.5%35 W · 27 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+34.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xed7c…da06backed Yes75c321.4$241 inWon+$80.353262.5%20 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+40.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc34a…6007backed Yes78c235.53$183 inWon+$52.925759.6%34 W · 23 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes78c209.62$163 inWon+$46.5256733.2%188 W · 379 L-40.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-29.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa0bc…d428backed No20c207.12$41 inLost-$41.4214230.3%43 W · 99 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd592…b119backed Yes78c200$156 inWon+$44.482556%14 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1633…190cbacked No20c175$35 inLost-$355844.8%26 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+37.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d84…1344backed No18c156.44$29 inLost-$28.8335519.7%70 W · 285 L-16.3wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-45.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0aae…d826backed Yes80c125$100 inWon+$252347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No23c114$26 inLost-$26.223013.3%4 W · 26 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f50…1fb6backed No20c90$18 inLost-$18.34751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd89b…21e6backed No32c79.17$26 inLost-$25.65825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb295…4ee4backed Yes80c73.78$59 inWon+$14.761172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed Yes77c70$54 inWon+$16.125241.7%105 W · 147 L-17.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7656…194bbacked Yes77c50$39 inWon+$11.52857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.4wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+86.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0816…377abacked No22c48$11 inLost-$10.561353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x165a…3975backed Yes80c31.25$25 inWon+$6.25757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90be…c800backed Yes75c24.08$18 inWon+$6.024839.6%19 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56e3…521cbacked Yes80c22$18 inWon+$4.51861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x729a…1e51backed Yes80c20$16 inWon+$4450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.