TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Ole Miss vs. Iowa State

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Ole Missof Ole Miss, Iowa State
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$232,204
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$312,710

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $232,204 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4259…936fbacked Ole Miss33c60,000$19,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,2003641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x011f…1122backed Iowa State65c34,320$22,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,400.817912.7%10 W · 69 L-13.1wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-65.2%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Iowa State67c20,133$13,453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,453.3810335.9%37 W · 66 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Iowa State18c15,976$2,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,948.138644.2%38 W · 48 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-26.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Iowa State68c15,004$10,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,199.3916053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Iowa State24c6,138$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,463.0510041%41 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda31…8e56backed Ole Miss32c5,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4008138.3%31 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Ole Miss33c4,290$1,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,895.0942948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Ole Miss34c3,571$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,370.74052.5%21 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Ole Miss30c3,313$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.52927.6%8 W · 21 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x76c8…ba09backed Iowa State54c2,208$1,190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,189.862924.1%7 W · 22 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ce7…fd4abacked Ole Miss74c2,170$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$566.1475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Iowa State1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-42.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45cc…6400backed Iowa State2c1,954$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.361250%6 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+214.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d73…5693backed Ole Miss32c1,860$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,264.962100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick45cpaid+141%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35aa…94bcbacked Iowa State78c1,828$1,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4201225%3 W · 9 L-3.2wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-62.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe932…0f05backed Ole Miss74c1,639$1,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.163046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Iowa State1c1,510$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.2922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-44.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Iowa State41c1,274$522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521.5355657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Iowa State34c1,272$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.993016.7%5 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-68.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Iowa State67c1,208$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.3315851.9%82 W · 76 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Iowa State30c1,169$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.051,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7ea4backed Iowa State67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6708232.9%27 W · 55 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-27.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc80…2bc1backed Iowa State40c999.97$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.494932.7%16 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick24cpaid+56%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa27b…5d5cbacked Ole Miss73c993.22$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.931369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Iowa State67c976.96$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.561838.9%7 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd9…ad08backed Ole Miss33c906.71$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Ole Miss75c888$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2222250%11 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…3e11backed Ole Miss77c833.66$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.854134.1%14 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe98b…780dbacked Iowa State31c811.76$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x79e3…663dbacked Ole Miss33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.06742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick31cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2b1…7d2abacked Ole Miss63c600$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2201926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.23per pick49cpaid-52.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x61e9…df4cbacked Iowa State67c594.82$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Ole Miss32c540$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.29833.7%33 W · 65 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-28.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x31db…8ff3backed Iowa State67c508.98$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Ole Miss32c500$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34013936.7%51 W · 88 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Ole Miss71c484.22$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.429641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Ole Miss43c463.86$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.514632.6%15 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-35.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699d…7b47backed Iowa State21c459.51$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.62020%4 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+74.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96c6…34a2backed Ole Miss33c450$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.54450%22 W · 22 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Iowa State28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126127.9%17 W · 44 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-34.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…8f26backed Iowa State68c363.44$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-43.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5ef9…35cfbacked Iowa State49c333$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.043036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-42.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Iowa State67c332.7$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.911,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Iowa State28c317.24$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902619.2%5 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Ole Miss32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.58151.9%42 W · 39 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Ole Miss33c300$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2012416.7%4 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-54.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Iowa State66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19861652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Iowa State67c294$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.9816842.3%71 W · 97 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Ole Miss35c286.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.584520%9 W · 36 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-50.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f67…9e23backed Ole Miss33c270.28$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.91822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-41.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Iowa State34c222.86$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…de26backed Ole Miss75c210.37$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.543053.3%16 W · 14 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick67cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Iowa State67c200$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1346934.8%24 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb978…a2a0backed Ole Miss33c196.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+20.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ca6…4b74backed Ole Miss33c183.94$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.945514.5%8 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1748…885dbacked Ole Miss69c178$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.06633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b90…3d27backed Ole Miss33c155.76$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2917122.8%39 W · 132 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-27.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Ole Miss33c151.52$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.5220642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Iowa State68c148$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6457448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Ole Miss34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.067860.3%47 W · 31 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xff91…a32abacked Iowa State68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c54…cc1ebacked Iowa State68c147$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.96887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick65cpaid+39.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79b2…4874backed Ole Miss33c136.36$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.361637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ec…6933backed Ole Miss33c136.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccda…4988backed Ole Miss45c110.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.56633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick24cpaid-24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x19a1…9e65backed Ole Miss29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.45666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+68.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Ole Miss33c100.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5730649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Iowa State65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Ole Miss33c100$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6730139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Iowa State68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$684770.2%33 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e14…3003backed Iowa State27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274932.7%16 W · 33 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-27.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef41…5080backed Iowa State16c100$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Ole Miss71c92.96$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.961233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-42.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Ole Miss33c92.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7910558.1%61 W · 44 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9418…4f2abacked Iowa State68c86.59$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.885337.7%20 W · 33 L-3.9wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcf7e…e5e9backed Ole Miss33c86.06$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.66250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Ole Miss71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.516953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8730…8916backed Ole Miss75c80.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Ole Miss33c76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.925642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Iowa State68c73.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502564%16 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f36…2305backed Iowa State68c72.04$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.091957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x72fe…e2cebacked Iowa State68c70$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.65570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…5025backed Iowa State67c65$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.552454.2%13 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0da7…ca6cbacked Ole Miss33c63.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.64666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+18.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x024a…decbbacked Iowa State68c62$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.162454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8b49…1ab7backed Ole Miss33c61.21$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x02a1…3f08backed Ole Miss33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.612832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x94e3…da40backed Ole Miss33c60$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+203%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Ole Miss33c54.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5511344.2%50 W · 63 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4698…6c24backed Iowa State67c50$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.53669.4%25 W · 11 L+3.7wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Iowa State68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3082048.2%395 W · 425 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8495…df87backed Iowa State69c43.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.933773%27 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick69cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf10f…004dbacked Ole Miss75c41.15$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.291361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2388…a491backed Ole Miss35c37.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.311315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x16e6…1c52backed Iowa State68c36.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259658.3%56 W · 40 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0643…d46bbacked Iowa State69c36.23$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259348.4%45 W · 48 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Iowa State42c35.71$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15419.8%4 W · 37 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-67.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Iowa State68c32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.764831.3%15 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-44.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb14…5358backed Iowa State67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.15152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.