Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99a28742ea572f7511b4d0a9d6f79294bbdeea0f11cc7d62f0e577decccba3c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $308,675
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x45af…9158backed Yes | 20c | 51,111$10,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,395.81 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd02…aba7backed Yes | 17c | 37,273$6,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,422.3 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -56%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf323…c700backed No | 62c | 12,461$7,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,709.44 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6916…2fd4backed Yes | 38c | 7,237$2,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,743.74 | 638 | 35.4%226 W · 412 L | +18.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…8f91backed Yes | 21c | 6,085$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.21 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…1e95backed Yes | 13c | 4,979$667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.55 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 16cpaid | -92.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked No | 67c | 4,500$3,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.86 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked Yes | 49c | 4,133$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.17 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd69b…1ed8backed Yes | 26c | 3,327$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.7 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +6.4wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +110%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe3da…a0f9backed Yes | 23c | 3,096$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.76 | 128 | 24.2%31 W · 97 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…2ef6backed Yes | 25c | 2,500$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8390…8f8bbacked Yes | 46c | 2,386$1,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,095.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…5ca4backed Yes | 29c | 2,357$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.78 | 258 | 24%62 W · 196 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a38…bfe8backed No | 64c | 2,046$1,312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.68 | 124 | 31.5%39 W · 85 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97a7…49f7backed Yes | 22c | 1,595$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.61 | 95 | 46.3%44 W · 51 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63e3…8876backed No | 43c | 1,545$658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.55 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.21per pick | 40cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaee8…6eebbacked Yes | 20c | 1,518$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 21c | 1,330$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.45 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6f…340bbacked Yes | 23c | 1,158$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.32 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea3…f9a9backed Yes | 27c | 1,150$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…128fbacked No | 75c | 900$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…76f6backed No | 29c | 898$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.58 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1d63backed Yes | 36c | 829.26$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.03 | 72 | 29.2%21 W · 51 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c57…eb35backed No | 79c | 760$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3725…0d14backed Yes | 3c | 719.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 76c | 611.86$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.41 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa27b…5d5cbacked Yes | 70c | 602.29$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x944c…857ebacked No | 80c | 501.54$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…6d6cbacked No | 78c | 500$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d25…c76bbacked Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 150 | 23.3%35 W · 115 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea8a…61a1backed No | 76c | 491.85$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.15 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7689…2fa9backed No | 44c | 463$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.94 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +4.8wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Yes | 32c | 400$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d6…f810backed No | 65c | 400$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc456…8996backed No | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ad…d00bbacked Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…05adbacked Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.7 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20e1…d611backed Yes | 56c | 287.98$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.27 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad6…c088backed No | 79c | 285.3$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.91 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbabd…3335backed No | 64c | 280$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…7504backed No | 33c | 257.23$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.23 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 5c | 251.11$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…a373backed Yes | 51c | 250$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed No | 45c | 235.1$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.67 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4eb8…9231backed Yes | 28c | 206.25$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8db…243dbacked Yes | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 51 | 15.7%8 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 185.18$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd321…a77fbacked Yes | 28c | 174$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a2…a3c3backed Yes | 59c | 170.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 40c | 166.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…0358backed No | 79c | 159.45$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 61 | 88.5%54 W · 7 L | +16.9wins | +0.28per pick | 61cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 27c | 159$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 9c | 152$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8281…7a9bbacked Yes | 36c | 151.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbd…cfbbbacked Yes | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da7…ca6cbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcebf…bb60backed No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cea…ad23backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ef…f738backed No | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653b…18cebacked Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…c050backed No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05c7…23cdbacked Yes | 20c | 99.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…2370backed Yes | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x513b…3f17backed Yes | 37c | 83.51$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…8ff0backed Yes | 68c | 80$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46b7…b8c5backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3f…b05fbacked Yes | 27c | 73.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca68…7aa9backed Yes | 62c | 64.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0271…57e5backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…1977backed Yes | 66c | 62.39$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21cd…bf5cbacked No | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 72c | 52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.56 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -7.9wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc57e…9b78backed Yes | 46c | 51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe149…210abacked Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef34…1d61backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…cce7backed No | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…412ebacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44cb…e3d8backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed Yes | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf856…7373backed Yes | 51c | 32.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4854…5397backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…ea29backed No | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x771f…7369backed Yes | 63c | 24.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9250…55f5backed No | 77c | 23$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe420…87e4backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…4fe8backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will XRP reach $2.80 in May?this page
- Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.50 in May?No won
- Will XRP dip to $1.90 in May?No won
- Will XRP dip to $2.00 in May?No won
- Will XRP dip to $2.10 in May?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.30 in May?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.40 in May?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.50 in May?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $2.60 in May?Yes won
- Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?No won
- Will XRP reach $3.50 in May?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.