TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,385
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,652

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,385 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5230…58f5backed Yes2c6,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf369…6caebacked No32c4,738$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.59250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+57.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…f034backed No39c4,297$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.014944.9%22 W · 27 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9006…507ebacked Yes71c4,240$3,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,010.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8514…360bbacked Yes73c3,307$2,427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x241e…c7bfbacked Yes5c3,200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x467e…8a6cbacked Yes69c2,900$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,001.910%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5095…c97cbacked Yes51c2,860$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,468.474040%16 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f47…af93backed No49c2,612$1,269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,343.071533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1984…241ebacked Yes1c2,545$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc941…c3d4backed No42c2,293$963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,330.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No26c2,139$559 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.985438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked No29c1,946$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,385.661861.1%11 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa2c5…70d9backed No50c1,895$955 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.88540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-33.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7cc…4952backed Yes53c1,627$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$865.321936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-31.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce66…8f33backed No49c1,624$790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4c8…3e97backed No23c1,379$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,063.982100%2 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+1,107%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34c0…88c7backed Yes66c1,302$853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$853.15425%1 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.43per pick68cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30d6…8c9dbacked Yes77c1,245$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.16837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a12…01cebacked No45c1,073$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.72245.5%10 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed Yes48c1,049$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.9992145.2%416 W · 505 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbc26…24d0backed Yes54c1,004$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes61c997.34$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.671942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-24.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x80a4…22ccbacked No47c897.87$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.872142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ec…65adbacked Yes71c896.99$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$640.61366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick68cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Yes60c808.78$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48957249.5%283 W · 289 L-32.8wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6d7…9db4backed Yes68c750$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+138.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3115…83f4backed Yes11c687.57$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.63728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick9cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ec…0ff9backed No51c684.38$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.38450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e82…64abbacked Yes45c672$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.2616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.31per pick48cpaid-76.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2137…0677backed No50c635.66$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.14944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8cc…5a82backed No36c626.92$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.371464.3%9 W · 5 L+4.0wins+0.29per pick36cpaid+76.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xaae7…9036backed Yes2c573$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dcb…77adbacked Yes52c536.04$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3502…16dcbacked Yes63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Yes68c499.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed No37c499.99$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3154837.5%18 W · 30 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-31.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d6…f3bdbacked No48c498.94$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d92…3852backed Yes50c496.08$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-65%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Yes54c482.13$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.262317.4%4 W · 19 L-3.9wins-0.17per pick34cpaid-63.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1eb5…5afdbacked Yes41c455.83$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes58c442.74$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9538348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…165cbacked No48c420$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d56…470fbacked Yes80c366.89$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.5120%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xae1c…5126backed No55c362.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.231100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed No30c270.83$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.993050%15 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01e6…9dfebacked No36c265.7$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.892100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+237.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce0d…8eb5backed Yes66c250$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No47c248.99$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.974348.8%21 W · 22 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c2b…1298backed Yes55c236.36$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+127.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Yes55c230.78$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.935429.6%16 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b38…5f6ebacked Yes56c220.5$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Yes54c211.86$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.1620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x415c…3c94backed No37c202.94$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.31442.9%6 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+31.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1cf…9656backed Yes73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1461625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-40.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc620…2da3backed Yes52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8111…489dbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb724…7ce0backed No31c195.63$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd399…ef6abacked Yes55c185.44$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d5…a854backed Yes54c185.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cb1…1771backed No35c183$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb0a…dd74backed Yes72c177.09$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+212.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb956…c475backed Yes67c172.86$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f84…b7b4backed Yes53c170$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x347e…4e0cbacked No31c163.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.581100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad45…6fffbacked Yes52c160$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.51936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Yes70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051822.2%4 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1180…8e39backed Yes65c150$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d50…48b8backed Yes43c150$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b7f…d752backed Yes69c144.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Yes70c142.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002,33246.6%1,087 W · 1,245 L+55.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xccce…7a04backed Yes34c140.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c5…c9b5backed No36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.893100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+107.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fd9…0ac5backed Yes66c136$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b14…b84bbacked Yes51c133$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.8340%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f69…f07ebacked No61c132.93$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.88862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick40cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x38b4…15fdbacked Yes55c131.63$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8e7…5399backed Yes69c129.69$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.781154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb4e…2aeebacked No43c126.44$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.57862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe41a…a42dbacked Yes55c126.07$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182b…f022backed No38c115.34$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.952030%6 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-23.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1bf…2194backed Yes53c113.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f43…261abacked Yes80c112.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b5…b321backed Yes52c111.71$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc357…3684backed No50c111.42$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.717345.2%33 W · 40 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12f7…88fbbacked Yes72c111.11$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef20…b10abacked Yes39c110$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.920%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x57c5…aec2backed Yes71c105$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Yes68c102.94$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702832.1%9 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa988…ed6fbacked Yes54c101.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde05…2c2cbacked Yes10c101$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65140%0 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x558c…c433backed Yes54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed No31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e84…4b92backed No48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bbb…a8fbbacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6d3…a093backed No31c100$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick55cpaid+67.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1245…aa30backed Yes54c99.98$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.