TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Will Daniil Medvedev (AIN) win Gold in Men's Tennis?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,588
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,300

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,588 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 6 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2370…0e10backed Yes2c6,370$158 inLost-$157.91414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick8cpaid-39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe077…8ee3backed Yes5c2,500$112 inLost-$112.481612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3115…83f4backed Yes1c1,416$20 inLost-$20.18728.6%2 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick9cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x611e…e3cebacked Yes1c1,000$14 inLost-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d76…409fbacked Yes2c833.33$20 inLost-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+49.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Yes7c357.14$25 inLost-$2517538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.