Tennis · resolved market
Will another athlete win Gold in Men's Tennis?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x433842eb9625c6fd9e73c556ba314f4e2fd97d38ecb37a791602a088cf9d69bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,020
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,410
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,020 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3115…83f4backed Yes | 1c | 3,944$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 9cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…08d2backed Yes | 10c | 3,500$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Yes | 2c | 3,275$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.15 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 4c | 3,026$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.13 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 8cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ea…4d9fbacked Yes | 0c | 2,476$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…8f03backed Yes | 7c | 1,834$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c1…fa46backed Yes | 1c | 1,611$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d81…34b1backed Yes | 7c | 668.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3258…9e52backed Yes | 7c | 500$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…81e3backed Yes | 8c | 360$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1189…a9e0backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked Yes | 9c | 146$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another athlete win Gold in Men's Tennis?this page
- Will Alex De Minaur (AUS) win Gold in Men's Tennis?No won
- Will Alexander Zverev (GER) win Gold in Men's Tennis?No won
- Will Carlos Alcaraz (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis?No won
- Will Casper Ruud (NOR) win Gold in Men's Tennis?No won
- Will Daniil Medvedev (AIN) win Gold in Men's Tennis?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic (SRB) win Gold in Men's Tennis?Yes won
- Will Rafael Nadal (ESP) win Gold in Men's Tennis?No won
- Will Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE) win Gold in Men's Tennis?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.