TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Bitcoin all time high day after election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$321,896

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 179 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6550…b49ebacked No2c20,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47bc…abd2backed No15c14,250$2,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,137.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7120…201bbacked No10c13,581$1,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,388.22366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc98a…2a0cbacked No19c13,011$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a5…bafebacked No2c10,500$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.8523411.1%26 W · 208 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb2d…dde5backed No3c7,713$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb94b…95dbbacked No2c7,619$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff16…7511backed Yes67c6,742$4,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,220.724953.1%26 W · 23 L+5.7wins+0.12per pick41cpaid-6.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x013d…3e88backed No14c6,137$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.212313%3 W · 20 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-49.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe9e3…13adbacked No17c6,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8e…0cc4backed Yes27c5,331$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,899.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+272.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bab…1292backed No1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked No14c5,000$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.6430%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec75…f4e0backed Yes26c4,833$1,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,563.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+280.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0983…7adbbacked Yes31c4,787$1,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,291.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+220.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa98…4a57backed Yes18c4,000$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,279.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+286.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce2a…d593backed Yes40c3,735$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,226.13250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+23.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7217…fdbdbacked Yes74c3,675$2,702 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$973.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca3e…f2fabacked Yes17c3,206$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,663.845240.4%21 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed No70c2,533$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.8930%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x919a…7e99backed Yes46c2,407$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed No43c2,309$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6189…d042backed No22c2,227$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96c4…bfdebacked No15c2,004$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb315…c679backed No7c1,961$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf81b…89b1backed Yes26c1,944$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,443.55475%3 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.43per pick32cpaid+154%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc39d…4891backed Yes15c1,861$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,589.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+586.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f6e…5727backed No76c1,773$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.3910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x888d…2dd6backed No52c1,620$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.211428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b64…49bdbacked Yes18c1,500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.961258.3%7 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+40.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd095…8b08backed No36c1,482$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…d424backed Yes15c1,315$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,118.651330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid+8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63f3…b6c8backed Yes16c1,100$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+535.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6e5a…563dbacked No43c1,098$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc53…e0bdbacked No23c1,061$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b6…510ebacked No80c1,051$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab0a…2dffbacked Yes28c1,035$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$748.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.72per pick28cpaid+261.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb913…333fbacked No3c1,011$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b06…8c69backed Yes20c1,000$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.48147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-64.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe241…29febacked No10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd59…a542backed Yes15c1,000$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8502100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+312.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x91ea…545cbacked No16c1,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4258…b969backed No8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d96…039cbacked Yes68c1,000$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes25c999.73$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$750.561100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+301.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee8…7e06backed No64c759.22$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.296940.6%28 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes27c747.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$547.98650%3 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+32.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc31c…7830backed Yes14c741.48$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+149.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0c0…b40bbacked Yes18c725.85$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51ea…f5f6backed No80c662.18$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c3d…a40fbacked Yes20c656.28$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+412.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2310…8537backed Yes16c600$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5fda…01d5backed Yes18c600$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4922470.8%17 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+31.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc4de…fb3ebacked Yes17c571.89$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dd8…7bbfbacked Yes20c564.35$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde79…06abbacked Yes19c557.74$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.083215.6%5 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0107…7ec3backed Yes18c547.05$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.051513.3%2 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid-49%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x054b…8477backed Yes5c505.69$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed No10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1820…e3f7backed No74c500$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ba2…4f27backed Yes18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4101315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3df…9f6cbacked No75c439.98$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.9820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6245…d3c0backed No79c436.13$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.41366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c85…2249backed Yes18c433$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3531100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+441.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a50…7f3abacked No80c399.99$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcb0…c865backed Yes15c388.35$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x33af…6676backed Yes27c365.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+265.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbf3…e563backed Yes14c357.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.86per pick14cpaid+614.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe39c…eb31backed Yes22c342.09$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+359.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf24…5058backed Yes14c334.9$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.01520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+42.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5a1…298bbacked Yes15c333.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9047…c4a6backed Yes17c327.98$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+482.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2836…a0cdbacked No49c301.01$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.01650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+385.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb2e…4d83backed No62c286.28$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No79c285.79$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.521915.8%3 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-48.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ebd…5537backed Yes19c279.4$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+414.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc49f…f79dbacked Yes18c277.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick25cpaid+85.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b6…15b4backed Yes19c269.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+438.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15fc…93f5backed Yes23c266.52$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.521100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+344.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47f4…5d4bbacked Yes77c259.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5361…061abacked Yes28c249.45$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.45520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f56…576fbacked No77c248.07$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac6…82a6backed Yes18c246.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.52812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick8cpaid-30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c61…0af9backed Yes19c239.75$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+438.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2459…8d76backed Yes21c233.5$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+374.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1601…2841backed No45c225.79$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a86…4805backed Yes18c222.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.82per pick18cpaid+455.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a61…eb03backed No69c216.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd929…5bbebacked Yes31c208.39$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+220.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No79c202.14$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.185332.1%17 W · 36 L-7.9wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-45.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2139…4b34backed No17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d21…3842backed Yes13c200$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f5…c5f7backed Yes23c200$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1541100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+334.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x709a…7651backed Yes31c183.28$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+222.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf942…b8a4backed Yes21c180.95$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+381%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b22…b715backed Yes17c176.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.83per pick17cpaid+488.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd616…9c1ebacked No29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dbf…7776backed No77c165$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd282…b817backed Yes15c159.01$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.451100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+547.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b55…02f8backed Yes24c158.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+313.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.