MLB · resolved market
Guardians vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33c447405b1078f94a81c956721d3cd9f1d34a39381b6bb5b1c5b466ed440f4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Guardians, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $159,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $180,631
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $159,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 523 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed White Sox | 39c | 19,731$7,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,636.54 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Guardians | 62c | 12,000$7,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,559.96 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 49c | 9,899$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,899.52 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked White Sox | 43c | 5,050$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.05 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 42c | 4,947$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,078.45 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked White Sox | 43c | 4,883$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.96 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Guardians | 54c | 4,856$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,255.8 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Guardians | 43c | 4,765$2,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,733.7 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Guardians | 56c | 4,713$2,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.41 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed White Sox | 59c | 3,753$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Guardians | 67c | 3,406$2,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.14 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Guardians | 45c | 3,066$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.36 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox | 44c | 2,734$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.84 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed White Sox | 45c | 2,699$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.54 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Guardians | 58c | 2,594$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.54 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Guardians | 58c | 2,587$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.81 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed White Sox | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed White Sox | 48c | 1,812$878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$878 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb98b…7e18backed Guardians | 57c | 1,767$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$762.54 | 169 | 34.9%59 W · 110 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Guardians | 50c | 1,603$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.76 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed White Sox | 42c | 1,509$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.25 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Guardians | 59c | 1,482$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed White Sox | 43c | 1,412$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Guardians | 57c | 1,404$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.12 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked Guardians | 43c | 1,271$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.86 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed White Sox | 1c | 1,260$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed White Sox | 45c | 1,155$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.66 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Guardians | 61c | 1,148$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.71 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Guardians | 48c | 941.19$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.21 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc20f…2266backed Guardians | 58c | 918.91$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf366…bd1ebacked Guardians | 56c | 898.74$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.74 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x47ef…dfd1backed Guardians | 57c | 880.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.44 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked White Sox | 43c | 860.46$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Guardians | 57c | 824.56$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.56 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 57c | 812.26$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.56 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f55…0f1bbacked Guardians | 57c | 809.38$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Guardians | 56c | 708$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.52 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox | 47c | 700$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.36 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…2af7backed Guardians | 58c | 691.36$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.36 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Guardians | 53c | 671$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.08 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1741…cffbbacked White Sox | 46c | 651.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.61 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x102c…a24cbacked Guardians | 67c | 645.75$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…32aebacked Guardians | 47c | 644.74$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.74 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…0989backed White Sox | 45c | 601.44$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Guardians | 52c | 572.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.73 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c21cbacked White Sox | 55c | 526.42$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.13 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Guardians | 50c | 499.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed White Sox | 57c | 466$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.62 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Guardians | 55c | 463.15$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.42 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Guardians | 56c | 443.94$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.15 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed White Sox | 45c | 399.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…98fbbacked Guardians | 56c | 394.45$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +49%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Guardians | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.62 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f2d…e348backed Guardians | 51c | 326.82$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.47 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 42c | 297.93$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.7 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked White Sox | 57c | 290.49$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.58 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 51c | 264.07$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.01 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a33…83abbacked White Sox | 45c | 252.18$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.74 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Guardians | 62c | 246.97$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox | 42c | 234.73$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.68 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked White Sox | 45c | 220$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.9 | 564 | 40.4%228 W · 336 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Guardians | 60c | 212.42$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.57 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Guardians | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30be…3566backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7e…4b6fbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9f…8483backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf716…c440backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386c…bc0dbacked Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c2…0705backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8a…1a07backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5322…6b5fbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…0039backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbe…fbe3backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…bd2ebacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4f…2737backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd5…a72abacked Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…ed65backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0669…8717backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa444…c492backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc909…6393backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a7…b4c8backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf5…ee08backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7811…36d3backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a54…7d39backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa266…9abcbacked Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafbd…67aebacked Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1379backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…06b5backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25a5…81f4backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d59…569ebacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…836cbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…8149backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…43dfbacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfcd…7ec6backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc0…8c53backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28d5…7f11backed Guardians | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…d335backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…8dcebacked White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…2883backed White Sox | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.