MLB · resolved market
Rays vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2670ea9181d2e13a40e8b6ddb814fb8d8b010b3e399b3e3a946f96912a0d9b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Rays, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $142,356
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $161,107
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $142,356 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a35…77f9backed Rays | 39c | 35,511$13,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,849.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…53cfbacked Astros | 61c | 35,100$21,411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,689 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf980…6528backed Rays | 37c | 27,307$10,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,081.1 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 63c | 11,538$7,269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.06 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86bb…7b4bbacked Astros | 64c | 9,996$6,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,598.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…492fbacked Rays | 36c | 9,996$3,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,598.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Astros | 63c | 4,092$2,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.1 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Astros | 60c | 3,685$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,464.36 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 63c | 3,531$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.39 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rays | 3c | 3,165$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.55 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…5644backed Astros | 66c | 3,003$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.59 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 62c | 3,000$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 60c | 2,800$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 62c | 2,537$1,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.89 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Rays | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Astros | 60c | 2,000$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Rays | 17c | 1,752$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.88 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Rays | 14c | 1,752$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.17 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rays | 39c | 1,625$634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.94 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Rays | 36c | 1,400$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rays | 25c | 1,308$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Astros | 61c | 1,280$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.17 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Astros | 61c | 1,100$673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Rays | 29c | 1,100$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Rays | 24c | 1,100$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.67 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Rays | 24c | 1,047$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Astros | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0c…ad7cbacked Astros | 76c | 996.71$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.21 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Astros | 59c | 948$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.68 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Astros | 63c | 899.96$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.98 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Rays | 35c | 811.6$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.06 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Astros | 62c | 760.45$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.34 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rays | 32c | 631.66$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.71 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rays | 41c | 600$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…be32backed Rays | 32c | 530.88$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.88 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rays | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rays | 36c | 499.98$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Astros | 60c | 497.01$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.81 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Rays | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…77bfbacked Rays | 37c | 464$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.68 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | +11.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Astros | 78c | 449.71$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.94 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Rays | 5c | 449$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Astros | 73c | 424.01$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.48 | 432 | 50.7%219 W · 213 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Rays | 10c | 414$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…c17dbacked Astros | 61c | 411$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Astros | 61c | 409.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.84 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Astros | 64c | 388.99$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.04 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Astros | 60c | 376$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Rays | 25c | 370.03$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.79 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Astros | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Rays | 15c | 300$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Astros | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Astros | 64c | 279$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.44 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Rays | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Rays | 37c | 267.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Rays | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 60c | 230$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Astros | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 131 | 51.9%68 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros | 60c | 166.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.19 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Rays | 29c | 166.14$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Astros | 73c | 159.3$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Rays | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5021…a70dbacked Rays | 40c | 137.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8f…554ebacked Rays | 40c | 136.33$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…e54bbacked Astros | 64c | 135.94$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.94 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Rays | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Rays | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e09…f2d9backed Rays | 41c | 127.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Astros | 61c | 123.99$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…c8f9backed Rays | 41c | 122.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a4…932dbacked Rays | 41c | 121.43$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…cd12backed Astros | 64c | 120.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.43 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Astros | 65c | 115$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.25 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 69c | 105.9$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.88 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Astros | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 61c | 98$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.92 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e19…dbf2backed Astros | 60c | 89.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaae…59f6backed Astros | 60c | 86.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1d…003dbacked Astros | 61c | 86.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4139…f610backed Astros | 60c | 86.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3bb…4405backed Astros | 60c | 85.35$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5401…4409backed Rays | 40c | 85.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 54cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0243…3bc2backed Astros | 65c | 84.68$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6901…d7b5backed Rays | 38c | 81.32$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x427d…6f52backed Astros | 61c | 80.16$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Astros | 65c | 80$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Rays | 35c | 80$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…5a54backed Rays | 40c | 77.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3c…2e2dbacked Astros | 61c | 76$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4321…d35bbacked Astros | 61c | 74.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1048…43ffbacked Rays | 30c | 66.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 65c | 63.92$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.37 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae6…ddc0backed Rays | 32c | 62.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e20…5e20backed Astros | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 40 | 70%28 W · 12 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…b8f5backed Rays | 37c | 60.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Astros | 66c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66d…745fbacked Astros | 61c | 59.82$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -59%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Astros | 62c | 58$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Rays | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.