Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PSV win on 2025-09-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c45a0f4c25ac45f2433aef49ce35e7e9b3cd27f5b6a934c21f0498c2b2c7958
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 73c | 7,104$5,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.92 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 28c | 4,386$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.86 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 27c | 4,211$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 73c | 1,224$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.49 | 66 | 62.1%41 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 35c | 1,191$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.36 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 74c | 799.93$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.93 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 27c | 629.93$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.08 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 26c | 519.23$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 26c | 480$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b7…e9babacked Yes | 64c | 407.81$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 67c | 342.67$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…1df1backed Yes | 73c | 273.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 60cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…6448backed Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 76c | 238.82$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.82 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…0e91backed Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 114 | 58.8%67 W · 47 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 19c | 122.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -6.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed No | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.3 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed Yes | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 24c | 81.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 20c | 79.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 20c | 77.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.47 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 72c | 66$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc487…dc86backed Yes | 70c | 56.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…75babacked Yes | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Yes | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Yes | 63c | 41.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44f8…2d91backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes | 70c | 35.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e94…db47backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdd…3a5bbacked Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x339f…79f0backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Yes | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV win on 2025-09-27?this page
- Will SBV Excelsior vs. PSV end in a draw?No won
- Will SBV Excelsior win on 2025-09-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.