MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43f37fc4b1f92e3329093dacdef73448ff8d4bfd3233b597d234474317ff3e43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Padres, Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,777
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,777 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc605…d372backed Giants | 65c | 12,798$8,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,299.05 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Giants | 44c | 11,136$4,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,947.06 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8a…2007backed Padres | 38c | 9,998$3,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,198.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e00…b4b5backed Giants | 62c | 9,996$6,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,197.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Padres | 40c | 7,499$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.31 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Padres | 33c | 6,537$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,375.9 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Padres | 40c | 6,046$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,651.84 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Giants | 61c | 5,950$3,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,629.26 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee0…98cfbacked Giants | 66c | 5,861$3,871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,870.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Giants | 59c | 5,178$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.85 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Giants | 69c | 5,066$3,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.06 | 161 | 51.6%83 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Giants | 57c | 4,827$2,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,764.55 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Giants | 58c | 4,791$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,765.98 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 38c | 4,648$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.02 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe142…86d5backed Giants | 63c | 4,110$2,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,589.18 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Padres | 41c | 3,152$1,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.95 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef57…90c1backed Giants | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.92 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Padres | 39c | 2,308$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.69 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Padres | 38c | 2,013$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.02 | 159 | 44%70 W · 89 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Giants | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfc…b032backed Padres | 38c | 1,983$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.45 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Giants | 56c | 1,911$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.29 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Padres | 36c | 1,744$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.86 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4403…c953backed Giants | 66c | 1,667$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.8 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 57cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres | 44c | 1,603$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.93 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ce…13eebacked Padres | 37c | 1,590$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.95 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Padres | 35c | 1,529$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$998.41 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…1b3dbacked Padres | 48c | 1,398$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.91 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Padres | 38c | 1,380$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.53 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Padres | 53c | 1,242$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.81 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Giants | 61c | 1,213$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.19 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Padres | 38c | 1,104$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.14 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Padres | 41c | 1,041$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.35 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Padres | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Giants | 61c | 999.9$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.94 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Padres | 38c | 999.79$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.87 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 50c | 958.25$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.01 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Giants | 61c | 950.81$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.99 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Padres | 35c | 930$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.8 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Padres | 42c | 861.88$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.19 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Padres | 40c | 858.16$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.69 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Giants | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Giants | 63c | 797.13$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 43 | 74.4%32 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Giants | 64c | 776.56$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Padres | 39c | 769.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.23 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…6713backed Giants | 68c | 739.15$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Padres | 42c | 717.79$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.67 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Padres | 37c | 683.68$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.72 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Padres | 37c | 670.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.72 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Padres | 39c | 641.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.03 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Giants | 57c | 583.21$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.28 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Giants | 65c | 582.46$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.8 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa581…45b2backed Padres | 44c | 560.43$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.93 | 114 | 63.2%72 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Giants | 62c | 523$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.88 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Padres | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…9996backed Giants | 14c | 507.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 38c | 499.99$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Giants | 6c | 492$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.68 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 37c | 477.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.11 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Padres | 37c | 473.97$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.6 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Padres | 37c | 470.38$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.34 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Padres | 22c | 461.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.39 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Giants | 65c | 460$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Padres | 44c | 459.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.09 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Padres | 39c | 420.74$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.65 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Giants | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Giants | 57c | 370.97$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.51 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…b20cbacked Padres | 35c | 359.38$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.85 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Padres | 57c | 352.63$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.63 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Giants | 60c | 309.46$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Padres | 34c | 307.57$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 123 | 35%43 W · 80 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Padres | 37c | 299.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Padres | 38c | 295.3$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.13 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Giants | 69c | 291.81$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1cd9backed Giants | 62c | 289.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.79 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Padres | 37c | 280$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Padres | 37c | 269.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.08 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Giants | 66c | 269.33$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.85 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Giants | 62c | 258.06$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Giants | 71c | 250.93$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.94 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Giants | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Giants | 61c | 229.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Giants | 55c | 219.29$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Giants | 63c | 213.37$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.42 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x871e…337fbacked Giants | 66c | 211.89$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9647…c18abacked Giants | 57c | 209.18$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Padres | 38c | 206.84$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.16 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Giants | 61c | 199.97$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.98 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…4faabacked Giants | 18c | 193.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf92…4bfdbacked Giants | 62c | 189.84$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.7 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Padres | 36c | 189.4$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.82 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ed…c5a4backed Giants | 64c | 187.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Giants | 38c | 159.4$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.77 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Giants | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6749…fea7backed Padres | 39c | 156.54$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Padres | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Giants | 54c | 144.71$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb540…1319backed Padres | 39c | 141.28$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.18 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59be…c8f9backed Padres | 39c | 138.05$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a0…45fdbacked Padres | 39c | 135.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.