Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Feyenoord win on 2025-09-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf6024ebd8b852b45ff2c2a374c0c19b2ae6887956c8777da99a2f43abb4b1b44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked No | 70c | 16,992$11,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,138.45 | 122 | 69.7%85 W · 37 L | +14.5wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 73c | 4,739$3,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.63 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 30c | 4,074$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 27c | 3,869$1,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.63 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 29c | 3,500$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,005 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -4.7wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Yes | 26c | 2,500$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 33c | 2,050$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.5 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 73c | 1,721$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.23 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcef7…e7d7backed No | 77c | 1,500$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.3 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 28c | 1,071$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 66c | 960.78$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.5 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | -15.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e47…0661backed Yes | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 30c | 756.13$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.84 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Yes | 30c | 700$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 67c | 641.52$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.7 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…b31dbacked Yes | 33c | 641.52$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked No | 73c | 541.59$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.3 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 68c | 430.22$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.42 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 70c | 382.51$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Yes | 30c | 337.22$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x145b…7ca4backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897b…151ebacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 32c | 310.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4e…e29dbacked Yes | 30c | 301.03$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed Yes | 18c | 300$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 27c | 272.78$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.65 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 71c | 257.27$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.61 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed No | 67c | 230.93$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.21 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Yes | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 30c | 179.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb5…6530backed Yes | 32c | 173.16$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Yes | 33c | 151.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 70c | 138.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.41 | 237 | 57%135 W · 102 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…7358backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed No | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb4…0c34backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…998ebacked Yes | 28c | 95.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa6…e980backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7afb…ff15backed Yes | 32c | 85.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a12…1e5abacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…2882backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 29c | 65.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…a12bbacked Yes | 28c | 61.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9f…f4afbacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46f…0819backed Yes | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa421…c61fbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 27c | 51.85$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd45b…933ebacked Yes | 29c | 50.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd072…f8b6backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0148…daf8backed Yes | 31c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d7…e193backed Yes | 31c | 48.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1cf…f5aebacked Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 70c | 43.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…bfaebacked Yes | 29c | 37.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1f…bcecbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…0009backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 21.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb32b…522dbacked No | 69c | 18.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.61 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Feyenoord win on 2025-09-24?this page
- Will SC Braga vs. Feyenoord end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2025-09-24?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.