Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will PSV win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d50e3636456c930c94f9a3b8ec14384a1248a1cffd91efdd07c4eed9182acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,936
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,527
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,936 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 62c | 41,000$25,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,389.44 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 38c | 31,321$11,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,391.88 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 42c | 3,331$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.95 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked No | 44c | 2,339$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 38c | 2,026$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.32 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 38c | 1,477$562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.78 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…1a5ebacked No | 43c | 1,281$549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 41c | 999$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 38c | 896.41$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.71 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 787$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.85 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 38c | 700$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 38c | 598$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.76 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 38c | 553$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.86 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 57c | 500$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 39c | 439.86$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.31 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…aaaabacked Yes | 42c | 391.01$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Yes | 56c | 178$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.68 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed No | 40c | 171.19$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.67 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc73…bcdcbacked Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c2…7f4cbacked Yes | 56c | 125.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed No | 46c | 95.87$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.87 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf31…2931backed Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 76c | 83.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…b378backed Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 65cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 61c | 59.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc48d…8a40backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked No | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 39c | 40.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.49 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 39c | 36.36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba49…a4a1backed Yes | 58c | 27.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PSV win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-09-21?No won
- Will PSV vs. AFC Ajax end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.