Champions League · resolved market
Will Inter Miami CF win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x92661a961adbe8a587a1f2c1fb610829a9018dfaf9afb83c47d56cc2e2424bf7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $73,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 18c | 7,259$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274.44 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Yes | 14c | 3,063$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.39 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 19c | 2,307$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.2 | 219 | 38.4%84 W · 135 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf25…cd94backed Yes | 15c | 1,991$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,882$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.42 | 187 | 7%13 W · 174 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 15c | 1,872$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 173 | 22%38 W · 135 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 1c | 1,649$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa93a…0f5cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,574$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.44 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,450$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.56 | 306 | 57.5%176 W · 130 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,447$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.49 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Yes | 24c | 1,261$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Yes | 19c | 932.92$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb917…9a73backed Yes | 16c | 862.15$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 16cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…6d9ebacked Yes | 8c | 682.97$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 12cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac8e…36d9backed Yes | 17c | 675.15$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes | 28c | 667.08$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 78c | 592.08$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.87 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 14c | 480.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b85…51f2backed Yes | 14c | 470.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa596…da37backed Yes | 25c | 405.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Yes | 25c | 400$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 395.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.74 | 163 | 27%44 W · 119 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 19c | 367$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb484…341dbacked Yes | 14c | 321.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb59…48a1backed Yes | 19c | 316.72$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe91d…c4c8backed Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +159.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96ff…f74cbacked Yes | 18c | 277.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…e69dbacked Yes | 49c | 223$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed No | 69c | 210$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.28 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | +11.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…d80ebacked Yes | 18c | 178.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78c2…8316backed Yes | 19c | 157.12$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8127…f8fbbacked Yes | 16c | 154.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 14c | 151.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f28…82e0backed Yes | 9c | 142.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc57d…12b5backed Yes | 18c | 139.36$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +62%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 19c | 128.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x636d…80d2backed Yes | 18c | 124.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -55%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…cc33backed No | 46c | 120.05$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a4c…4bdbbacked Yes | 17c | 118.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 18c | 113.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 18c | 110.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…a9a8backed Yes | 17c | 107.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc527…10acbacked Yes | 19c | 105.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bc…0d7abacked Yes | 16c | 101.27$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9839…040ebacked Yes | 19c | 95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.05 | 46 | 19.6%9 W · 37 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -57%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11a1…7934backed Yes | 18c | 83.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcedb…8eccbacked Yes | 18c | 83.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 25c | 80.84$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed Yes | 20c | 75.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 228 | 47.8%109 W · 119 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Yes | 22c | 69.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 80c | 64.95$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 110 | 70%77 W · 33 L | +7.9wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…067ebacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa40d…ea7abacked No | 76c | 62.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 119 | 16.8%20 W · 99 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa437…6dc7backed Yes | 18c | 60.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 77c | 58.67$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 77c | 52.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 23c | 52.17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95b…1692backed Yes | 35c | 42.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0037…500abacked Yes | 60c | 39.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…715fbacked No | 78c | 25.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 62c | 20.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Inter Miami CF win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?this page
- Will Al Ahly win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will FC Porto win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?No won
- Will Palmeiras win Group A at the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.