World Politics · resolved market
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24e4d8b6fd60c9867d9accbdd88ba2ac7212aeb03dfc9d6b10bab06896049ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,284,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,316,186
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,284,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 460 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0886…6072backed No | 23c | 113,523$26,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,665.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…10bcbacked No | 18c | 54,100$9,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,602.93 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade3…c17dbacked Yes | 75c | 50,386$37,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,596.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a35…77f9backed No | 25c | 50,386$12,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,596.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b9…95fabacked Yes | 66c | 28,354$18,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,586.37 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 11c | 24,731$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.43 | 166 | 12.7%21 W · 145 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…a61fbacked Yes | 76c | 19,538$14,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,727.98 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdef…82acbacked No | 2c | 17,518$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.72 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked Yes | 70c | 16,924$11,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,048.65 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +252.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5950…8c48backed Yes | 64c | 15,603$10,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,564.28 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked Yes | 72c | 15,327$10,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,353.6 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e82…f3b0backed No | 15c | 13,889$2,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 21cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…1a50backed Yes | 58c | 13,047$7,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,435.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 0c | 12,939$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeb5…1dc6backed Yes | 77c | 12,239$9,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,825.31 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 10c | 11,369$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.93 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec7…1594backed Yes | 61c | 10,804$6,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,219.03 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b2…d4d4backed Yes | 41c | 10,032$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,883.88 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 14cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 2c | 8,723$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.94 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked Yes | 64c | 8,198$5,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,917.37 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.4wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x630e…2f2fbacked Yes | 72c | 8,106$5,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,236.69 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbd…8d71backed Yes | 75c | 7,289$5,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.03 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed No | 25c | 7,217$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.62 | 35 | 5.7%2 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d95…0ff4backed Yes | 53c | 7,119$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,367.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…f077backed No | 30c | 6,896$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…c280backed Yes | 60c | 6,765$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Yes | 79c | 6,389$5,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.96 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +91.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…f2e1backed Yes | 72c | 6,325$4,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,741.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561b…0a5fbacked No | 0c | 5,800$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 14cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe274…ee86backed No | 13c | 5,280$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.53 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0def…0674backed No | 5c | 5,162$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1af…701ebacked Yes | 25c | 5,147$1,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,868.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf66c…4ab1backed No | 3c | 4,956$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.23 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 8cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 4c | 4,912$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.99 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -57.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 20c | 4,630$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$911.84 | 563 | 14.6%82 W · 481 L | -39.3wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6e…3abfbacked No | 6c | 4,198$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bb…98b3backed No | 29c | 4,169$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.61 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b5…4f1ebacked Yes | 62c | 4,109$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2031…2325backed Yes | 77c | 4,004$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 6c | 3,923$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.44 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…91e9backed Yes | 73c | 3,919$2,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ccf…adddbacked Yes | 77c | 3,874$2,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdfb…c05cbacked No | 20c | 3,813$759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.54 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.32per pick | 27cpaid | +123.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e78…ea77backed Yes | 77c | 3,784$2,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.12 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…0df8backed No | 5c | 3,750$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.98 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cf…69fdbacked Yes | 80c | 3,713$2,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 26c | 3,641$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.75 | 232 | 25%58 W · 174 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 74c | 3,606$2,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.74 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe190…a627backed No | 23c | 3,534$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa724…6f7fbacked Yes | 72c | 3,260$2,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.77 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…2edcbacked No | 8c | 3,168$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f1…72c6backed Yes | 77c | 3,132$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe396…e6fcbacked No | 18c | 3,006$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 1c | 3,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…5149backed Yes | 68c | 2,975$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Yes | 78c | 2,918$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.18 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1f…6f69backed Yes | 74c | 2,858$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.18 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4a49…7447backed No | 23c | 2,779$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.91 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1587…3103backed Yes | 72c | 2,779$1,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349c…7413backed Yes | 76c | 2,767$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +43%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed No | 9c | 2,684$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.32 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b5…1438backed Yes | 76c | 2,648$2,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 26cpaid | +176.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cce…34e0backed No | 15c | 2,645$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.91 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed No | 6c | 2,576$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.92 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…1a6abacked Yes | 70c | 2,530$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Yes | 76c | 2,440$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.47 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f6…cff7backed Yes | 75c | 2,403$1,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.07 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 44c | 2,371$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.18 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b87…a487backed Yes | 64c | 2,330$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 25cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad7e…f9ebbacked Yes | 73c | 2,286$1,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.73 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…4a4abacked Yes | 76c | 2,220$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.92 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb73e…7645backed No | 5c | 2,193$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…763abacked Yes | 73c | 2,154$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.47 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 26cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…5e6abacked Yes | 52c | 2,082$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.25 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a14…6d9ebacked Yes | 68c | 2,000$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…0c51backed No | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 46cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6d8…7b80backed No | 26c | 1,993$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.26 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -83.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3986…cfe6backed Yes | 62c | 1,988$1,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$757.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 21c | 1,875$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.79 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63c3…2783backed No | 17c | 1,873$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd15…f489backed Yes | 27c | 1,853$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,353.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +248.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…7cc1backed No | 32c | 1,852$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a2…5adabacked Yes | 79c | 1,784$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.16 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 79c | 1,769$1,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.79 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…18a1backed No | 16c | 1,750$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.65 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 64c | 1,744$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.43 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd0…edc4backed Yes | 55c | 1,640$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.1 | 110 | 17.3%19 W · 91 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3e…cd54backed Yes | 80c | 1,632$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.98 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…3c6dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,614$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.81 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.6wins | +0.36per pick | 44cpaid | +66%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…bb63backed Yes | 80c | 1,612$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.86 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 13c | 1,610$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.92 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b6…8f48backed Yes | 53c | 1,570$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.49 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb07f…4000backed No | 6c | 1,552$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0662…f6debacked No | 49c | 1,527$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed No | 5c | 1,490$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6b…6027backed Yes | 65c | 1,473$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x509e…7f24backed Yes | 65c | 1,447$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.41 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2357…e97cbacked Yes | 69c | 1,433$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.19 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +123.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 77c | 1,416$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.67 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…61fbbacked Yes | 53c | 1,389$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.16 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ilie Bolojan?this page
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Anca Dragu?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Attila Cseke?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Candidate Lucian Croitoru?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Claudiu Târziu?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Crin Antonescu?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Drulă?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Predoiu?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Dacian Cioloș?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Elena Lasconi?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Emil Boc?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Florin Cîțu?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Gabriela Firea?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be George Simion?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ionuț Dumitru?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Kelemen Hunor?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Ludovic Orban?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Marcel Ciolacu?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Raluca Turcan?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sebastian Burduja?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Sorin Grindeanu?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Vasile Dîncu?No won
- Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Victor Ponta?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.