TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Delia Velculescu?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$97,442
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,612

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,442 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes0c19,102$32 inLost-$31.934121%4 W · 408 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+171.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes0c15,560$18 inLost-$17.664521.1%5 W · 447 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick0cpaid+156.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7079…7cc1backed Yes2c15,403$377 inLost-$376.74933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+29%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes1c2,831$28 inLost-$27.726114.8%9 W · 52 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes2c2,409$47 inLost-$46.981,43110.1%145 W · 1,286 L-4.9wins0.00per pick10cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a45…b82abacked Yes1c2,305$19 inLost-$18.621711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec2a…81c1backed Yes0c2,179$10 inLost-$103112.9%4 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-53%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e1…79f4backed Yes7c2,108$142 inLost-$142425%1 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick15cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9304…f693backed Yes3c2,046$60 inLost-$59.873511.4%4 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa429…c60cbacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9b…0054backed Yes2c1,843$32 inLost-$32130%0 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x31ff…0d37backed Yes9c1,558$140 inLost-$1404420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-50.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0a3…82ddbacked Yes2c1,102$20 inLost-$20219.5%2 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick6cpaid-73.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes2c1,090$20 inLost-$19.852939.2%27 W · 266 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick10cpaid+25.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb0…f493backed Yes2c1,041$22 inLost-$22944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+11.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf584…e58fbacked Yes4c846.58$30 inLost-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick17cpaid-60.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f4…29c3backed Yes5c417.79$20 inLost-$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+25.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03cc…78fcbacked Yes3c400$14 inLost-$13.61435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick25cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5113…f0babacked Yes11c300$34 inLost-$34.452330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-20.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes5c297.21$15 inLost-$15.3816612.7%21 W · 145 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-51.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0a7…8d16backed Yes5c205$10 inLost-$10.051216.7%2 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-65.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.