Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Predoiu?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc32a61ccca0b1316182b810c3affc85700fb8a32f1c958c4fae6edafce65b013

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 24, 2025, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $156,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $70,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,212 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes	0c	33,211$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.97	412	1%4 W · 408 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+171.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef60…d6c2backed Yes	0c	28,465$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.39	41	12.2%5 W · 36 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	18cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc613…662bbacked Yes	0c	11,195$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.17	452	1.1%5 W · 447 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+156.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	513	2.9%15 W · 498 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+88.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	0c	9,659$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.23	1,431	10.1%145 W · 1,286 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b71…08fbbacked Yes	0c	3,860$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.57	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-30%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes	1c	2,520$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.5	61	14.8%9 W · 52 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a45…b82abacked Yes	2c	2,396$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.05	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5950…8c48backed Yes	3c	2,000$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	61	19.7%12 W · 49 L	-1.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-61.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…89b5backed Yes	1c	1,874$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.05	35	5.7%2 W · 33 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	9cpaid	-81.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f49…6fe4backed Yes	5c	1,854$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.18per pick	22cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1691…f06dbacked Yes	1c	1,745$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	30	20%6 W · 24 L	+2.6wins	+0.09per pick	11cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes	1c	1,604$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	293	9.2%27 W · 266 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+25.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Yes	1c	1,256$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x623a…2c2fbacked Yes	2c	1,242$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.04	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	21cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e78…e415backed Yes	2c	1,077$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	28.6%16 W · 40 L	+3.3wins	+0.06per pick	23cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0a3…82ddbacked Yes	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	9.5%2 W · 19 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x693e…c4b0backed Yes	9c	984.31$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	10cpaid	-30%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x31ff…0d37backed Yes	6c	940.33$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	44	20.5%9 W · 35 L	-2.1wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-50.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6d8…7b80backed Yes	4c	695.52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.34	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-83.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0cb…8e37backed Yes	2c	669.97$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+2.0wins	+0.15per pick	23cpaid	+99.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes	3c	604.04$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.17	688	3.6%25 W · 663 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-59.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347f…df2abacked Yes	3c	603.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9b…0054backed Yes	2c	575.02$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	13	0%0 W · 13 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes	3c	538.4$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.76	112	22.3%25 W · 87 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…a7b0backed Yes	4c	463.21$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	63	46%29 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e32…2ec3backed Yes	4c	456$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.42	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe3b…025bbacked Yes	6c	402.47$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.01	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	14cpaid	-48.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ac…3c6ebacked Yes	8c	266.53$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	12	25%3 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c7…e05abacked Yes	8c	137.18$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.58	28	25%7 W · 21 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be Cătălin Predoiu?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event