Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will NEC win on 2025-09-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2758b3abcf02369270d98ede271a0a9179d96db522be53446f893603d53aa857
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $89,611
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $108,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,611 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 40c | 60,050$23,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,950.12 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 60c | 21,248$12,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,488.06 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 60c | 7,342$4,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,912.86 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 60c | 5,199$3,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.88 | 137 | 55.5%76 W · 61 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed No | 60c | 4,054$2,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.49 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked No | 60c | 3,068$1,841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed No | 60c | 2,906$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.23 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed No | 60c | 2,555$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,022 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a32…6d7ebacked No | 60c | 2,500$1,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$990 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…6579backed No | 60c | 2,295$1,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed No | 60c | 1,700$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked No | 60c | 1,700$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed No | 66c | 1,683$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fce…28f8backed Yes | 41c | 988.85$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 61c | 880$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.6 | 230 | 21.7%50 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Yes | 41c | 725.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked No | 60c | 714$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.66 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 66c | 713.79$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.09 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 62c | 577.5$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.84 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed No | 60c | 422.9$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.39 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 63c | 366.62$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 60c | 340.4$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 60c | 312.27$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.91 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 37c | 285.54$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedae…584fbacked No | 60c | 250$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…070dbacked Yes | 28c | 115.91$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 60c | 59.92$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 60c | 56.18$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…aaaabacked Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NEC win on 2025-09-21?this page
- Will SC Heerenveen vs. NEC end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Heerenveen win on 2025-09-21?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.