Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bielsko Biala: Chiara Fornasieri vs Katarzyna Wysoczanska
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce439eae4c4714226b0b673e96d3e0158e9862e9ed8bf7d02a451d9149e5605f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chiara Fornasieriof Chiara Fornasieri, Katarzyna Wysoczanska
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,216
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,967
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,216 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Katarzyna Wysoczanska | 35c | 1,143$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.05 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +10.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Katarzyna Wysoczanska | 35c | 461.42$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.13 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 59c | 342$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.22 | 900 | 64.3%579 W · 321 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…29c9backed Katarzyna Wysoczanska | 10c | 330$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Katarzyna Wysoczanska | 42c | 281.03$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.03 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbac…38d0backed Katarzyna Wysoczanska | 26c | 264.73$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.83 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 58c | 263.79$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.79 | 402 | 54.5%219 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Katarzyna Wysoczanska | 41c | 230.15$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.36 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…d6ebbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 59c | 169.6$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 363 | 49.6%180 W · 183 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Chiara Fornasieri | 59c | 121.18$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.68 | 904 | 59.5%538 W · 366 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Chiara Fornasieri | 50c | 99.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Katarzyna Wysoczanska | 50c | 97.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…0685backed Chiara Fornasieri | 52c | 81.17$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -10.3wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Katarzyna Wysoczanska | 50c | 55.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 720 | 47.9%345 W · 375 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Katarzyna Wysoczanska | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 121 | 28.9%35 W · 86 L | -17.7wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Katarzyna Wysoczanska | 35c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 249 | 28.9%72 W · 177 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8836…7b5cbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 59c | 30.51$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Chiara Fornasieri | 50c | 26.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…b543backed Katarzyna Wysoczanska | 50c | 24.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 245 | 46.9%115 W · 130 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Chiara Fornasieri | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.