Euroleague · resolved market
FC Bayern Munchen vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc03b14e451594b63cca38eedcd3a309bca275863dddeba66e39eb79634d31a42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hapoel Tel Avivof FC Bayern Munchen, Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,649
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,649 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1464…5e75backed FC Bayern Munchen | 29c | 2,350$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.56 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 71c | 2,253$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.86 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 1,504$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed FC Bayern Munchen | 20c | 1,469$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 1,370$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.63 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 67c | 1,296$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.2 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 66c | 849.26$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.75 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 72c | 417.5$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.9 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed FC Bayern Munchen | 34c | 405.1$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.72 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed FC Bayern Munchen | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 301.25$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.38 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 67c | 272.24$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 21c | 228.09$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 211.26$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 70c | 177$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FC Bayern Munchen | 10c | 173.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce3e…2f24backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 67c | 152.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…cdcebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 67c | 126$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 67c | 115$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 105.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.38 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 68c | 103$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 66c | 101$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 67c | 90.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 31c | 73.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.84 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 78c | 69.09$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc9…5f9cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 69c | 66.44$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 65.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 68c | 65$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…cc71backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 70c | 65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +135%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…389fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 70c | 64.29$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 67c | 64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +59.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 67c | 63$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8380…1866backed FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa48…9062backed FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 66c | 47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…2f4dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 69c | 43.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 68c | 39.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.67 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7500…ae85backed FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…2cb0backed FC Bayern Munchen | 30c | 37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 67c | 33.36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.12 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x879d…8c58backed FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked FC Bayern Munchen | 33c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 77c | 16.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.85 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89f8…1b77backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.