Serie A · resolved market
Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecc6ee32ff50cb814c1212a2f7bba06b3c4264a40739185bd03dd0c1974b4ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,027
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,543
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,027 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 36c | 4,052$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,577.41 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over | 40c | 3,774$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.52 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 59c | 2,088$1,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,235.01 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Under | 64c | 2,000$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Under | 65c | 1,441$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.06 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Over | 42c | 1,350$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.91 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +6.9wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…2674backed Under | 74c | 1,062$787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Under | 61c | 857.29$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.81 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Under | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 25c | 617.5$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.21 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ac…188dbacked Under | 66c | 453.79$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 42c | 412.91$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.86 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Under | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…cc71backed Under | 62c | 319.99$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.39 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Under | 60c | 246.73$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.04 | 592 | 40.7%241 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c4…b832backed Under | 62c | 167.03$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.56 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea3…d599backed Under | 64c | 154.69$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8639…ee97backed Under | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e2…4459backed Over | 42c | 144.29$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 60c | 140$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 196 | 52%102 W · 94 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…1b07backed Under | 61c | 139.34$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…5793backed Over | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked Under | 60c | 137.02$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…48abbacked Over | 33c | 119.25$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 39c | 111$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.71 | 107 | 44.9%48 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Under | 59c | 104.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 339 | 51.6%175 W · 164 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2b…adcfbacked Over | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Under | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 39c | 95.52$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 156 | 48.7%76 W · 80 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5dd…490bbacked Under | 72c | 56.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2011…f296backed Under | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f08…8909backed Under | 61c | 31.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8118…3ec3backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Torino FC vs. Como 1907: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Como 1907 (-1.5)Como 1907 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.