Euroleague · resolved market
Virtus Bologna vs. Hapoel Tel Aviv
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xecfb619e911cf5b0974ade59c33662885246e58b37057d1c729a7a90a3a24d06
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hapoel Tel Avivof Virtus Bologna, Hapoel Tel Aviv
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcb84…08a9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 3,710$2,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 45c | 3,345$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,835.69 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 2,415$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$914.59 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Virtus Bologna | 42c | 1,910$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Virtus Bologna | 49c | 1,881$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Virtus Bologna | 37c | 1,457$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.13 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Virtus Bologna | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Virtus Bologna | 53c | 1,153$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.92 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 51c | 1,131$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.35 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 29c | 1,101$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.79 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Virtus Bologna | 5c | 987.71$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.08 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…64ccbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 42c | 710$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 43c | 607.78$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.93 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Virtus Bologna | 39c | 359$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.01 | 91 | 36.3%33 W · 58 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24db…1332backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 29c | 351.55$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 26cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Virtus Bologna | 36c | 301.89$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.47 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Virtus Bologna | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 245.28$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.74 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Virtus Bologna | 53c | 209.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.32 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb75d…9d01backed Virtus Bologna | 62c | 209.65$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.2 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +6.3wins | +0.27per pick | 60cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…e72dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 194$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.6 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Virtus Bologna | 77c | 192.8$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x433b…fdffbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 177.9$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…2f4dbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59c | 149.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc9…fa88backed Virtus Bologna | 58c | 148.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.42 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 51cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 57c | 116.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 39c | 110$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab9b…d007backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Virtus Bologna | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +7.2wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +69%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6519…76cabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Virtus Bologna | 43c | 93.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 64.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 58c | 60.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.58 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 54.27$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f95…8e86backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 49c | 53.63$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 69cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 37c | 53.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Virtus Bologna | 69c | 50.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 50.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.09 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Virtus Bologna | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b33…6c89backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 45c | 49.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Virtus Bologna | 39c | 46.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | +10.6wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Virtus Bologna | 41c | 43.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 314 | 46.2%145 W · 169 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…bbb5backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ab…71dfbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 61c | 32.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…cc71backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Virtus Bologna | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…07fabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 70c | 28.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.38 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8236…c5cdbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e7…c727backed Hapoel Tel Aviv | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.