Euroleague · resolved market
Paris Basketball vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa06b7df2a2efc6a4e9a31aebcfd6d9b879fd7e57f5bc6eae0d678fdc405798d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Paris Basketballof Paris Basketball, KK Crvena Zvezda
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Paris Basketball | 76c | 6,683$5,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,576.92 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 29c | 4,582$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.2 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 9c | 3,600$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7203…22d6backed Paris Basketball | 66c | 3,321$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.41 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +4.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 32c | 2,650$854 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Paris Basketball | 55c | 2,061$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.19 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4064…5f1ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 41c | 1,827$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…4588backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 37c | 999.95$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 53c | 899.21$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Paris Basketball | 44c | 892.86$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…7b44backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Paris Basketball | 46c | 872$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.22 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 695.28$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.07 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Paris Basketball | 65c | 609.99$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.7 | 114 | 55.3%63 W · 51 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Paris Basketball | 74c | 550$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Paris Basketball | 45c | 533$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.15 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Paris Basketball | 45c | 497.63$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.7 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Paris Basketball | 77c | 487.34$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Paris Basketball | 47c | 452$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.56 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Paris Basketball | 77c | 361$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 54c | 328.69$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb85…8464backed Paris Basketball | 55c | 273.94$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.94 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 34c | 238.06$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.57 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 37c | 213.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 120 | 41.7%50 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0756…afecbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 34c | 180.36$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Paris Basketball | 51c | 180.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.55 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked Paris Basketball | 58c | 179.94$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.33 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed4…8c3cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Paris Basketball | 55c | 171.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Paris Basketball | 47c | 170.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.21 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 33cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 27c | 148.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 39c | 148.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.26 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Paris Basketball | 45c | 145$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 132$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 44c | 112.76$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65be…1c83backed Paris Basketball | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked Paris Basketball | 56c | 99.29$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked Paris Basketball | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed Paris Basketball | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed Paris Basketball | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Paris Basketball | 63c | 82.58$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed Paris Basketball | 56c | 82.46$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 38c | 79.52$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.9wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 54c | 77.95$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +82.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 27c | 59.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ca…0d75backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 56.9$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 38cpaid | +72%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…cc71backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…6f8cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd53e…e70cbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 33c | 41.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 54c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed Paris Basketball | 45c | 36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked Paris Basketball | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Paris Basketball | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf95d…ca8dbacked KK Crvena Zvezda | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e44…3cefbacked Paris Basketball | 45c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bec…6997backed KK Crvena Zvezda | 55c | 26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +111.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Paris Basketball | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51bd…bc56backed Paris Basketball | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed Paris Basketball | 45c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked Paris Basketball | 76c | 17.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 38cpaid | -83.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.