NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Flyers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc38068466d1d6002937db97e77a333c46344eb9e6bdc78851620d39beb9d6b13
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Kraken, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $684,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $687,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $684,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 983 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Flyers | 56c | 162,221$90,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72,049.43 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Flyers | 57c | 100,079$57,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43,071.48 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Kraken | 44c | 67,259$29,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,432.24 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Kraken | 45c | 52,420$23,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,503.65 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Kraken | 43c | 38,430$16,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,556.45 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 22c | 35,037$7,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,766.75 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…20a6backed Flyers | 55c | 25,000$13,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,369.97 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Flyers | 54c | 24,382$13,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,099.05 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Kraken | 43c | 20,000$8,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,600 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Kraken | 45c | 20,000$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.98 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Kraken | 44c | 19,602$8,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,624.89 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Kraken | 45c | 18,490$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,320.34 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kraken | 10c | 18,348$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.97 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8159…ed58backed Flyers | 55c | 17,632$9,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,934.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa26…c232backed Kraken | 46c | 17,500$8,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,050 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf0…153ebacked Kraken | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,450 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Flyers | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.99 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Kraken | 43c | 13,934$5,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,991.67 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Kraken | 44c | 11,111$4,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,888.83 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kraken | 45c | 11,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.98 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Kraken | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Kraken | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Kraken | 45c | 8,995$4,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,047.75 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Kraken | 43c | 8,239$3,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,574.45 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed75…536ebacked Flyers | 55c | 7,182$3,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,231.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73c4…ee3dbacked Kraken | 46c | 7,174$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Kraken | 44c | 6,000$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610.03 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers | 56c | 5,963$3,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650.76 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kraken | 37c | 5,916$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206.08 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Kraken | 43c | 5,500$2,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,365 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken | 44c | 5,381$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.05 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Kraken | 45c | 5,214$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323.35 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Flyers | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Kraken | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5b…047abacked Flyers | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434c…0536backed Kraken | 47c | 4,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,860 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Kraken | 44c | 3,800$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Flyers | 56c | 3,500$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…4418backed Flyers | 55c | 3,305$1,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,487.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken | 21c | 3,165$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.64 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…eb87backed Flyers | 55c | 2,555$1,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Flyers | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…8015backed Flyers | 54c | 2,500$1,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Flyers | 55c | 2,500$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.98 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d4…5622backed Flyers | 55c | 2,391$1,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Flyers | 56c | 2,366$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f0…16fdbacked Flyers | 55c | 2,309$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,039.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…2d94backed Flyers | 55c | 2,245$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9525…e50abacked Kraken | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3306…f442backed Flyers | 55c | 2,173$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kraken | 43c | 2,108$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.13 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken | 44c | 2,069$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.42 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f1…9f1cbacked Kraken | 45c | 2,028$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97dd…1693backed Flyers | 55c | 2,028$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Kraken | 44c | 2,001$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.44 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Kraken | 45c | 2,000$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.01 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Kraken | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a8…c0eebacked Kraken | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…72b0backed Flyers | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Kraken | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Flyers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14a…e912backed Flyers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.99 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Kraken | 45c | 1,911$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$859.95 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0d…e13bbacked Flyers | 57c | 1,842$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,775$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…4b34backed Kraken | 45c | 1,692$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x595e…edb5backed Flyers | 55c | 1,692$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kraken | 44c | 1,642$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.5 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Kraken | 44c | 1,633$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.05 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3447…4d3cbacked Flyers | 55c | 1,600$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +61.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1be1…bb93backed Flyers | 55c | 1,573$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.87 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6162…f49bbacked Kraken | 46c | 1,573$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.5 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…e6d2backed Kraken | 47c | 1,548$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…2b5dbacked Flyers | 55c | 1,547$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c0…0faabacked Kraken | 47c | 1,500$705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dce…8816backed Kraken | 46c | 1,359$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…4e0ebacked Kraken | 46c | 1,315$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c6c…2f0bbacked Kraken | 46c | 1,300$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Kraken | 44c | 1,250$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Kraken | 45c | 1,250$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 71 | 57.7%41 W · 30 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…077abacked Kraken | 46c | 1,200$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 53cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…2159backed Kraken | 46c | 1,196$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b765backed Kraken | 46c | 1,185$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde27…d435backed Kraken | 46c | 1,174$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x892b…13febacked Kraken | 44c | 1,159$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Kraken | 43c | 1,141$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.28 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58be…8f22backed Kraken | 46c | 1,128$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x139b…e9bfbacked Kraken | 46c | 1,109$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9195…72a4backed Kraken | 45c | 1,106$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 127 | 42.5%54 W · 73 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Kraken | 45c | 1,089$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.93 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…48a9backed Kraken | 54c | 1,061$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.8 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Flyers | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.63 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…d8e0backed Kraken | 46c | 1,022$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…6298backed Kraken | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…2ac5backed Flyers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Kraken | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…e7f5backed Flyers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeefb…c552backed Kraken | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…9c77backed Kraken | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…a85cbacked Flyers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Flyersthis page
- Kraken vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Kraken vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Flyers (-1.5)Flyers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.