TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Bulls vs. Raptors

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bullsof Bulls, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,855
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$357,486

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,855 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Bulls78c27,252$21,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,109.349849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Raptors36c24,163$8,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,584.8925138.6%97 W · 154 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed Raptors8c14,659$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,172.7613920.1%28 W · 111 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Raptors30c10,895$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,238.7961532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb35b…fc08backed Raptors1c10,252$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.355911.9%7 W · 52 L-6.5wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x19d8…1691backed Raptors50c10,000$4,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,968.2472241.4%299 W · 423 L+2.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Raptors12c8,729$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06565642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04cf…76e8backed Bulls52c7,691$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,691.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd42f…047dbacked Bulls51c7,088$3,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,448.622832%73 W · 155 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf389…dbc7backed Bulls54c7,014$3,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,226.433100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff90…993cbacked Raptors48c6,249$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bulls60c5,408$3,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,175.241,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Raptors23c5,162$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.2521649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb370…0cb0backed Raptors46c5,044$2,314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,313.526450%32 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Raptors46c4,258$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.961,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcabf…c2d7backed Raptors52c3,841$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Raptors49c3,829$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,876.4515056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Raptors16c3,818$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.243,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bea…cf42backed Bulls55c3,818$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.721050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Raptors48c3,750$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.986245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Raptors1c3,725$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.293318.2%6 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick10cpaid-13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5272…f0afbacked Bulls77c3,532$2,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.351650%8 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9ed…5ec1backed Raptors46c3,531$1,624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,624.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+25.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2388…68b9backed Raptors46c3,483$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75b6…2609backed Bulls52c3,076$1,599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,476.455100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+45.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Raptors2c2,935$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.71,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Raptors5c2,406$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2434425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors7c2,374$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.481,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Raptors46c2,323$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.364452.3%23 W · 21 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Raptors47c2,112$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.741,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Raptors47c2,002$939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$938.952725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Raptors47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.8637954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4851…16dbbacked Raptors9c1,965$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.693528.6%10 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-50.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Bulls55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.1214062.9%88 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x279d…bc0ebacked Bulls77c1,803$1,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.881838.9%7 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.22per pick61cpaid-48%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Bulls70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45036057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Raptors4c1,500$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1609…55babacked Raptors48c1,437$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Raptors8c1,426$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.3670147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e07…9720backed Bulls51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6862100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a69…89f2backed Bulls51c1,400$714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6861100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66aa…d8cebacked Raptors49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf000…9531backed Raptors49c1,400$686 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Bulls50c1,387$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.6319943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1639…dec2backed Raptors49c1,350$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6585…fca4backed Bulls51c1,350$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$661.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9542…4295backed Bulls51c1,342$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.365947.5%28 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…73eebacked Raptors49c1,300$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fb…835fbacked Bulls51c1,300$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Bulls53c1,279$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$605.4188053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Bulls52c1,135$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$544.627143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf13b…2257backed Bulls53c1,132$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.93666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d6…d683backed Raptors48c1,119$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.921030%3 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick51cpaid-59.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bulls64c1,088$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.891,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Raptors4c1,075$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8814129.1%41 W · 100 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+5.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd91f…b7fabacked Raptors3c1,074$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.841540%6 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Bulls50c999.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdd9…ad08backed Raptors47c999.97$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ab7…d178backed Raptors48c999.97$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.981637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Raptors5c981$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Raptors44c970.87$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.5672341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0e0…68a8backed Bulls52c956.06$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456.066750.7%34 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Bulls51c923.73$471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.7333638.1%128 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ee0…d6a6backed Bulls51c882.78$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$432.561233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fdc…42f9backed Bulls65c821.97$534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.144858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Raptors48c799.97$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.9929148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd541…26bfbacked Bulls51c784.31$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd8…eb7bbacked Bulls54c777.15$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.492161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x50ff…2037backed Bulls53c757.39$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.39742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d6…86fdbacked Raptors49c757.35$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Bulls77c750.07$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.526563.1%41 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13f4…1c68backed Raptors2c746.3$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-25.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Raptors47c718.29$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33556348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x645e…d120backed Bulls55c700$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31515341.8%64 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Raptors2c700$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1113611.8%16 W · 120 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick9cpaid+41.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x542e…e88ebacked Raptors31c673.69$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.3414941.6%62 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc203…74f3backed Bulls71c616.12$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3725957.5%149 W · 110 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d08…0080backed Bulls52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2885330.2%16 W · 37 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-37.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Bulls65c588.29$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.98246.3%38 W · 44 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5af8…c115backed Raptors49c575.51$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5f0…fc70backed Bulls52c575.35$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Bulls50c555$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Raptors22c532$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.681,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfda5…9bdabacked Bulls51c519.59$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.62540%10 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Bulls55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22512154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6aab…9c4cbacked Bulls51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24529661.5%182 W · 114 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked Raptors5c499.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254928.6%14 W · 35 L-0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd1d…b57fbacked Raptors11c472.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2112131.4%38 W · 83 L-7.6wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-31.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3642…aac6backed Bulls52c455.03$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.031478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.33per pick45cpaid+87.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1772…bb32backed Bulls70c430.21$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.3411428.9%33 W · 81 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcede…d9ebbacked Bulls72c421.4$303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.465366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8e0…ebcfbacked Bulls72c416.36$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.367363%46 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Bulls50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20012563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1ae…3327backed Bulls62c400$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1536942%29 W · 40 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Bulls51c399.14$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.581,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Bulls51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.1638132.8%125 W · 256 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1efa…6a86backed Bulls51c390.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.49875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+27.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd161…532abacked Raptors48c374.62$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.821050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbec2…826bbacked Raptors28c350$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$985820.7%12 W · 46 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61dd…cb5abacked Bulls78c346.27$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.184100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.