Lol · resolved market
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs 100 Thieves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3586789623e4a7f3c80b494e8dffbe821aeb27391dfde6304a730e3f5ce3abcd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vivo Keyd Starsof Vivo Keyd Stars, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,259
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,259 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 21c | 11,111$2,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,777.66 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 18c | 9,430$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,768.42 | 303 | 21.8%66 W · 237 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe529…e7b1backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 9,159$7,236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,235.74 | 87 | 69%60 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 19c | 5,975$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,835.65 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 2,048$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.15 | 462 | 58.4%270 W · 192 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 39c | 2,000$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked 100 Thieves | 78c | 1,748$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.44 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 28c | 1,585$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.2 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 1,500$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d2…4f20backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 22c | 1,424$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.73 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 1,277$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.32 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 21c | 1,200$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.35 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 47c | 1,030$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.96 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…005fbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 1,024$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.96 | 94 | 66%62 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ea…22ecbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 67c | 1,000$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.62 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 484 | 48.6%235 W · 249 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0c…a715backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 252 | 69.8%176 W · 76 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 18c | 999.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.66 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 900$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 70c | 900$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 518 | 52.7%273 W · 245 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd0…5aedbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 17c | 897$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.51 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked 100 Thieves | 77c | 725$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.58 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5d…91d8backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 62c | 721$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.81 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked 100 Thieves | 53c | 663.85$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.94 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed 100 Thieves | 53c | 589.91$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.26 | 808 | 32.9%266 W · 542 L | -43.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked 100 Thieves | 41c | 566.67$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 20c | 557.95$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.36 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 461.41$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.9 | 487 | 42.3%206 W · 281 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 417.61$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.97 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 77c | 404.68$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.08 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed 100 Thieves | 77c | 400$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…75b3backed 100 Thieves | 63c | 318.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb71e…bd5cbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 66c | 313.45$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.57 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 18c | 288.85$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.41 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked 100 Thieves | 36c | 248.1$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.24 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked 100 Thieves | 45c | 248.04$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.77 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked 100 Thieves | 78c | 200$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.5 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f4…7d1abacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 18c | 197.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 26cpaid | +155%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…60e7backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 22c | 190$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.2 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16f0…a28dbacked 100 Thieves | 33c | 183.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…e4b0backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e45…3662backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 164.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.35 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9058…a2c2backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 150$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736f…d0c5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed 100 Thieves | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 246 | 55.7%137 W · 109 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19fe…33debacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 22c | 87$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 25c | 79.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.88 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.95 | 923 | 42.7%394 W · 529 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed 100 Thieves | 29c | 70$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ed…2a85backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 867 | 58.1%504 W · 363 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da7…2e56backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked 100 Thieves | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 19c | 61$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…3872backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed 100 Thieves | 79c | 37.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 71cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…d707backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…c74cbacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 27.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…1630backed 100 Thieves | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed 100 Thieves | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 364 | 65.1%237 W · 127 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed 100 Thieves | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb77d…2f85backed 100 Thieves | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.