CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x86a57669c99ff06a0b9ac30b74663af1774c056be4c2b29a0a32d1152983a00d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spiritof Spirit, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,015
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked G2 | 36c | 9,420$3,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,391.2 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed G2 | 12c | 7,688$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$922.56 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Spirit | 64c | 7,554$4,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.26 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…b9d1backed G2 | 37c | 4,659$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed G2 | 37c | 4,299$1,591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590.63 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Spirit | 63c | 3,534$2,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.55 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed G2 | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Spirit | 63c | 2,189$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.93 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Spirit | 63c | 2,152$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.08 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Spirit | 64c | 2,085$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.45 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6df6…8458backed G2 | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 324 | 25.3%82 W · 242 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed G2 | 32c | 1,700$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed G2 | 31c | 1,278$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.21 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed G2 | 37c | 1,160$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.2 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed G2 | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spirit | 63c | 897.27$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.99 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed G2 | 37c | 800$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Spirit | 65c | 680$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Spirit | 63c | 666$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.42 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c7…98aabacked Spirit | 77c | 520$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 252 | 61.5%155 W · 97 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb020…d974backed G2 | 19c | 515$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | -18.6wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Spirit | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Spirit | 80c | 481.43$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.29 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Spirit | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 426 | 38%162 W · 264 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb54f…70c3backed G2 | 28c | 435.46$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Spirit | 73c | 389.55$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Spirit | 63c | 332.21$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.7 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed Spirit | 63c | 312$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.44 | 92 | 51.1%47 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed G2 | 36c | 305.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.38 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Spirit | 63c | 276.99$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.49 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Spirit | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 98 | 60.2%59 W · 39 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8206…7cacbacked G2 | 37c | 256.76$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed G2 | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed G2 | 10c | 227.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed G2 | 16c | 216.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.13 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed G2 | 9c | 209.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 194 | 23.7%46 W · 148 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Spirit | 64c | 177.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.99 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c08…eba9backed G2 | 37c | 170$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Spirit | 64c | 164.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7594…1f03backed G2 | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb00a…c58cbacked Spirit | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed G2 | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5a2bbacked G2 | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…b051backed G2 | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked G2 | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed G2 | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked G2 | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked G2 | 35c | 99.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Spirit | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Spirit | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked G2 | 20c | 75.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked G2 | 20c | 65.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed G2 | 20c | 65.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1357…4fd4backed Spirit | 65c | 61.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.62 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked G2 | 35c | 61.77$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…72e7backed G2 | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +155.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f5…3382backed G2 | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed G2 | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…3d76backed G2 | 32c | 53.36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed Spirit | 65c | 51.43$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed Spirit | 65c | 45.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed Spirit | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Spirit | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed G2 | 36c | 29.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Spirit | 64c | 29.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Spirit | 75c | 25.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74d…f5c4backed Spirit | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked Spirit | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Spirit | 64c | 18.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…0068backed Spirit | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb44…f556backed Spirit | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.