Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Fnatic vs DRX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8d66fb6ccd2e73a75ee7d5614b01ab771745d1c20e0b42f86df19a09f1df433
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fnaticof Fnatic, DRX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,032
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,032 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed Fnatic | 57c | 6,530$3,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,811.61 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed DRX | 41c | 4,862$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked DRX | 41c | 2,000$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.21 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Fnatic | 74c | 1,652$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.98 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed DRX | 39c | 1,573$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.53 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed DRX | 45c | 1,275$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed DRX | 39c | 1,155$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.44 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Fnatic | 59c | 1,024$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Fnatic | 60c | 904$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.81 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Fnatic | 59c | 899.99$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Fnatic | 54c | 877.98$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490a…1d4bbacked DRX | 24c | 784.87$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.37 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Fnatic | 59c | 775.71$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.91 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed DRX | 48c | 730.76$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed DRX | 41c | 714$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.74 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Fnatic | 61c | 658$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.62 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed Fnatic | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…c629backed DRX | 46c | 482.61$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked DRX | 37c | 468.61$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.18 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Fnatic | 50c | 411.96$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +120.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…51edbacked DRX | 42c | 357.14$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed DRX | 50c | 348.37$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.61 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Fnatic | 61c | 307.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.85 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked DRX | 30c | 301.52$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Fnatic | 61c | 300.98$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.98 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…955fbacked Fnatic | 34c | 299.54$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.59 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 29cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Fnatic | 58c | 275.86$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.86 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked DRX | 42c | 250.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.4 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed DRX | 38c | 232.51$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.44 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6466…4633backed Fnatic | 44c | 229.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +93.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed DRX | 39c | 199.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89a8…c206backed Fnatic | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked DRX | 37c | 168.25$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.25 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed DRX | 16c | 167$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fnatic | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Fnatic | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfa74…562cbacked Fnatic | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Fnatic | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…9172backed Fnatic | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked DRX | 40c | 75.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.34 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Fnatic | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.75 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Fnatic | 62c | 65.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked DRX | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd14e…7e5fbacked DRX | 50c | 57.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…4df6backed Fnatic | 47c | 54.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcae1…7dddbacked Fnatic | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed Fnatic | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ad…46fcbacked Fnatic | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed DRX | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Fnatic | 60c | 49.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.59 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Fnatic | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed Fnatic | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed DRX | 68c | 33.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0491…b092backed Fnatic | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Fnatic | 57c | 25.11$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed DRX | 42c | 24.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked Fnatic | 61c | 20.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…5a9abacked DRX | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…6b49backed Fnatic | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed Fnatic | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.