CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs 3DMAX (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aaefb57fd39567669ab684d4c434964e9133116adc56fe3402f0c93ef506a46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 3DMAXof fnatic, 3DMAX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,544
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2307…3934backed 3DMAX | 74c | 21,075$15,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.8 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed fnatic | 24c | 15,368$3,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,681.03 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed fnatic | 40c | 7,500$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,999.99 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed fnatic | 35c | 2,500$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed fnatic | 38c | 2,227$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.42 | 720 | 46.1%332 W · 388 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked 3DMAX | 61c | 1,973$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.72 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed fnatic | 23c | 1,739$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked 3DMAX | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df5…b34abacked 3DMAX | 56c | 1,417$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.43 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked 3DMAX | 60c | 1,392$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.67 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked fnatic | 39c | 1,200$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed 3DMAX | 62c | 1,122$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.2 | 164 | 49.4%81 W · 83 L | -20.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked 3DMAX | 62c | 1,026$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.81 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed 3DMAX | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked fnatic | 38c | 800$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc426…20b4backed fnatic | 28c | 725.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 56.3%54 W · 42 L | +10.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked fnatic | 40c | 700$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…50c9backed 3DMAX | 60c | 662.5$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked fnatic | 35c | 635.93$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.07 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed fnatic | 39c | 621.58$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.2 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed 3DMAX | 72c | 579.52$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed fnatic | 41c | 510.39$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.93 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed 3DMAX | 73c | 507.13$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.75 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked 3DMAX | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe81d…16bfbacked 3DMAX | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed fnatic | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc933…5366backed 3DMAX | 58c | 494$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked fnatic | 34c | 438.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 849 | 37.8%321 W · 528 L | -20.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked 3DMAX | 61c | 396$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.21 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked 3DMAX | 45c | 391.11$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.11 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02c…2cf8backed 3DMAX | 72c | 379.99$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked 3DMAX | 71c | 377.44$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.46 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed 3DMAX | 69c | 376.81$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 385 | 52.2%201 W · 184 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed 3DMAX | 66c | 363.79$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.81 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked fnatic | 38c | 344.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked fnatic | 38c | 344.83$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.04 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed fnatic | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed fnatic | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 40%56 W · 84 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…3987backed fnatic | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.4wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed fnatic | 42c | 221.1$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.86 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8483…7858backed fnatic | 34c | 219.88$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed fnatic | 38c | 211$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked 3DMAX | 76c | 204$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed 3DMAX | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed 3DMAX | 60c | 189$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 634 | 45.3%287 W · 347 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…38bdbacked fnatic | 30c | 182.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked fnatic | 41c | 182.07$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.65 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed 3DMAX | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked 3DMAX | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed 3DMAX | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf2…423abacked 3DMAX | 62c | 146.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.77 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed 3DMAX | 60c | 141.67$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 969 | 45.6%442 W · 527 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda45…d95bbacked fnatic | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked 3DMAX | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 110 | 63.6%70 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed fnatic | 29c | 98.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed fnatic | 38c | 91.79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.88 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked 3DMAX | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 983 | 52.4%515 W · 468 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19f1…f301backed 3DMAX | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 201 | 57.7%116 W · 85 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed fnatic | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 113 | 69%78 W · 35 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked fnatic | 32c | 56.56$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f6…79d2backed fnatic | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 378 | 51.9%196 W · 182 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 3DMAX | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed 3DMAX | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked fnatic | 29c | 43.88$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.91 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34b4…3010backed 3DMAX | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked 3DMAX | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed 3DMAX | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed 3DMAX | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed 3DMAX | 70c | 29.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d73…044bbacked 3DMAX | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked 3DMAX | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed 3DMAX | 59c | 16.95$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.