CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs ENCE
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfeab30573a8c0cf11b0229ef7eebd2df9751e747f8148611c2495e531ea61263
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ENCEof Astralis, ENCE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,496
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,496 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Astralis | 71c | 8,683$6,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,124.33 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked ENCE | 30c | 4,600$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,220 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed ENCE | 29c | 3,488$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,466.45 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Astralis | 55c | 3,073$1,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,688.17 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Astralis | 64c | 2,877$1,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,842.26 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked ENCE | 50c | 2,855$1,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,421.91 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Astralis | 56c | 2,248$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,258.75 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Astralis | 69c | 2,243$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,544.96 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked ENCE | 31c | 1,500$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ENCE | 43c | 1,410$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.53 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed ENCE | 47c | 909.69$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.01 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefab…a304backed ENCE | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -5.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Astralis | 45c | 642$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.36 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Astralis | 68c | 605$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.45 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed ENCE | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed ENCE | 20c | 508.66$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.66 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed ENCE | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked ENCE | 31c | 500$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Astralis | 68c | 449.14$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.35 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked ENCE | 29c | 431.43$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.3 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74da…8701backed Astralis | 78c | 389.67$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x829f…3486backed Astralis | 46c | 336.19$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.01 | 88 | 33%29 W · 59 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…9172backed ENCE | 60c | 232.1$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.99 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Astralis | 68c | 205.88$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked ENCE | 32c | 205.88$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 88 | 38.6%34 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f78…68a4backed Astralis | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 85 | 4.7%4 W · 81 L | -8.5wins | -0.10per pick | 15cpaid | -84.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe06c…62aebacked Astralis | 71c | 191$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.61 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked ENCE | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…7465backed ENCE | 39c | 163.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed Astralis | 67c | 151.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.52 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Astralis | 71c | 140.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…6a20backed ENCE | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -9.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…79f9backed Astralis | 65c | 125.59$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.79 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -13.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6245…67f0backed Astralis | 60c | 117.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.35 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astralis | 45c | 113.04$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 263 | 51.3%135 W · 128 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked Astralis | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked ENCE | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 176 | 33%58 W · 118 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed ENCE | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…8ab1backed Astralis | 79c | 88.72$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Astralis | 37c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 550 | 43.1%237 W · 313 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked ENCE | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked ENCE | 29c | 51.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.3 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked ENCE | 32c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed ENCE | 39c | 36.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked ENCE | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed ENCE | 32c | 32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 364 | 37.4%136 W · 228 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed Astralis | 71c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8402backed Astralis | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -5.1wins | -0.34per pick | 67cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Astralis | 69c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.