Earnings · resolved market
Will Intel (INTC) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe05b325a9661cdb2b6fbc751865ef7cc6678ac314433ea31745e36a397561cb2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,630
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,095
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,630 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd2b2…fd14backed Yes | 78c | 2,305$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b92…42e6backed No | 21c | 1,423$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.6 | 122 | 64.8%79 W · 43 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 78c | 1,152$897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.63 | 263 | 34.6%91 W · 172 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf41d…8fe1backed No | 36c | 915.16$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…b632backed No | 15c | 667.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73dc…8d32backed No | 31c | 543.1$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.91 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb21d…2c51backed Yes | 74c | 521.73$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.65 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bab…4f17backed Yes | 77c | 509.2$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Yes | 76c | 478.99$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…8b4fbacked No | 43c | 442.62$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 24c | 397.28$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.35 | 674 | 42.7%288 W · 386 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked No | 19c | 360$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 172 | 26.7%46 W · 126 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec8…47d7backed No | 29c | 298.1$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c0…be99backed Yes | 70c | 274.84$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.84 | 72 | 62.5%45 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 24c | 270.32$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 218 | 20.2%44 W · 174 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed8…9dd0backed No | 25c | 260.5$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c59…4d2ebacked No | 24c | 258.81$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22bd…ad18backed Yes | 79c | 253.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +108.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e3…f4a0backed No | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1352…4da4backed Yes | 77c | 223.29$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked No | 19c | 220.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.49 | 761 | 37.6%286 W · 475 L | +35.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5020…215fbacked No | 24c | 207.01$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 207 | 29.5%61 W · 146 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…623dbacked No | 53c | 183.56$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.29 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0cd…45abbacked No | 22c | 180$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 78 | 16.7%13 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x109e…0a59backed No | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edb…8c78backed Yes | 60c | 169.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 43cpaid | +183.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 32c | 164.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 463 | 14.3%66 W · 397 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 36c | 153.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49b5…e5eebacked No | 51c | 143.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.38 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 36c | 140$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0db3…744bbacked Yes | 73c | 137.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070a…6dadbacked Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaef5…a454backed Yes | 76c | 131.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d7…3499backed Yes | 62c | 130$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e5…fd88backed Yes | 79c | 127.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.16 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc047…fecbbacked Yes | 79c | 125.32$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x902d…1f3fbacked Yes | 70c | 113.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b3…3a58backed No | 21c | 106.55$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf1…ee1dbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…a23abacked No | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 23cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb0…3b23backed No | 36c | 99.52$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…a303backed Yes | 61c | 99.09$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.09 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb5…d37cbacked No | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.7wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x807b…d059backed No | 52c | 85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.15 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7698…9c54backed Yes | 66c | 82.67$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa811…dc76backed Yes | 66c | 78.43$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +126.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f88…bd2bbacked Yes | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…9593backed Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.8 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked No | 22c | 54.74$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | -18.3wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…2e7cbacked No | 22c | 53.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a2…be70backed No | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c5…90babacked No | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2106…4deabacked Yes | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa59c…bb62backed Yes | 64c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed No | 21c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb68f…613fbacked No | 35c | 49.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked No | 36c | 48.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…d95cbacked No | 30c | 47.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd87…dd8bbacked Yes | 80c | 45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…7f7fbacked Yes | 80c | 41.85$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…d476backed Yes | 69c | 40.34$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ed…f4d8backed Yes | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…ad58backed No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…2bedbacked No | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ee…efe0backed Yes | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe569…2ce6backed Yes | 55c | 31.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x903c…57d8backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xface…9d17backed Yes | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…6dffbacked No | 35c | 29.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e01…757abacked Yes | 62c | 28.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.72 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb22f…c36abacked No | 55c | 27.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0a…9229backed Yes | 66c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44d…df91backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0f…7cbebacked Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1f…fe6abacked Yes | 71c | 24.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 72cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3209…fef4backed Yes | 70c | 21.51$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10bb…d49dbacked Yes | 73c | 17.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 102 | 72.5%74 W · 28 L | +6.5wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed Yes | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4496…7f88backed Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.