TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

CS: The MongolZ vs Liquid

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
The MongolZof The MongolZ, Liquid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$242,038
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$317,503

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,038 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4fe9…706abacked The MongolZ74c40,888$30,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,483.1616448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Liquid30c23,149$6,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,980.8483652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed Liquid26c14,425$3,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,757.699329%27 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Liquid27c12,838$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,466.1321424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Liquid26c11,111$2,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.8588242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Liquid28c10,274$2,837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,836.7226344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x733b…7260backed The MongolZ74c9,394$6,952 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,442.492259.1%13 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick72cpaid-20.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Liquid23c8,559$2,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,01045848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a05…5c62backed Liquid25c8,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0004639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b16…0dc4backed The MongolZ79c5,303$4,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,135.985459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed The MongolZ73c5,000$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,35019660.7%119 W · 77 L-13.9wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-7.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Liquid24c4,892$1,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,181.6627345.8%125 W · 148 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Liquid32c3,510$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.2920855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6a6f…4999backed Liquid30c3,352$1,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,005.944862.5%30 W · 18 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x215d…ba6dbacked The MongolZ73c2,935$2,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792.4311847.5%56 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb020…d974backed The MongolZ73c2,495$1,821 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$673.6314237.3%53 W · 89 L-18.6wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-32.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked The MongolZ69c2,270$1,567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.8681751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Liquid27c1,600$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4328838.6%34 W · 54 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+18.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Liquid37c1,587$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.380740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e70…19e8backed The MongolZ63c1,587$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.31637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.2wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-30.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebed…97bebacked Liquid9c1,584$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.442832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7373…3964backed The MongolZ74c1,400$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36413353.4%71 W · 62 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df5…b34abacked The MongolZ74c1,253$927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.792544%11 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0f0…60dabacked Liquid29c1,221$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.971145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked The MongolZ66c1,117$737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6724440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Liquid29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30021251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe732…7465backed Liquid29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2906643.9%29 W · 37 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x17b9…430dbacked The MongolZ77c975.38$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.893458.8%20 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed The MongolZ65c888.45$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.4185446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked The MongolZ71c788.61$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.71,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Liquid25c712.55$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.1429855%164 W · 134 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xefab…a304backed Liquid10c682.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.34332.6%14 W · 29 L-5.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfb09…0f04backed Liquid28c677$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.5613223.5%31 W · 101 L-10.5wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-25.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x829f…3486backed The MongolZ66c671.15$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.198833%29 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Liquid26c650$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1695,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c5b…50c9backed The MongolZ72c633$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.244736.2%17 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Liquid26c619.41$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.6881244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed The MongolZ64c600$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21646340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf671…3dd7backed Liquid10c600$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5823351.5%120 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed The MongolZ72c536.22$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.1460853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked The MongolZ77c504.55$386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.281,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Liquid27c500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13528351.9%147 W · 136 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Liquid12c500$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6011030.9%34 W · 76 L-11.3wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8206…7cacbacked Liquid34c491.28$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.033721.6%8 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick28cpaid-28.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f64…5fdcbacked The MongolZ72c486$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.08366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc759…51edbacked Liquid22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008842%37 W · 51 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed The MongolZ73c418.97$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.9773658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf735…b074backed The MongolZ72c417$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.76366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed The MongolZ72c414.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.7426563%167 W · 98 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fde…8ab1backed The MongolZ74c391.76$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.864866.7%32 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick74cpaid-10.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Liquid20c380$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Liquid28c374.14$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.7621645.4%98 W · 118 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x415c…e407backed Liquid6c361.11$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.672142.9%9 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39ea…f75bbacked The MongolZ73c357.16$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.433554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Liquid35c331.27$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.8142638%162 W · 264 L-8.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89a8…c206backed The MongolZ66c303.03$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.039860.2%59 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Liquid27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8122056.4%124 W · 96 L+19.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed The MongolZ72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7868753.9%370 W · 317 L-21.6wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b9…13febacked The MongolZ73c258.7$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.851338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick56cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x732b…3b02backed The MongolZ75c250$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.5955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aaa…0c04backed Liquid11c218.18$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2420150.7%102 W · 99 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…b646backed Liquid27c200.72$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.198737.9%33 W · 54 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd0…0e01backed Liquid7c200$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf66a…9157backed Liquid28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010238.2%39 W · 63 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcad0…d5bfbacked The MongolZ74c166.64$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.642100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x28a3…79f9backed The MongolZ68c165.98$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.1112843%55 W · 73 L-13.0wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-23.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe782…e7d9backed Liquid29c154.78$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.891735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-37.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb89b…312dbacked The MongolZ73c154.45$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.7580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick71cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c3f…676cbacked The MongolZ68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0610261.8%63 W · 39 L+7.8wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked The MongolZ71c140.7$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.842149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x218e…e49dbacked The MongolZ70c140$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.335454.2%192 W · 162 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed The MongolZ73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9933456.6%189 W · 145 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed The MongolZ73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.9923454.7%128 W · 106 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x88ca…5679backed The MongolZ73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ac…a924backed The MongolZ65c133.85$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.8513850%69 W · 69 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc8a2…c590backed The MongolZ70c129.99$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.714332.2%46 W · 97 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-33.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed The MongolZ76c122$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2420856.3%117 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40d5…bfe9backed Liquid11c122$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4263345.2%286 W · 347 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Liquid27c110$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.71,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5ff…0b39backed The MongolZ73c102.46$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.461100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd053…3202backed The MongolZ70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305738.6%22 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a57…3e7bbacked Liquid18c77.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed The MongolZ72c77.41$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9542057.1%240 W · 180 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb28d…88cabacked The MongolZ73c76.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19f1…f301backed The MongolZ66c75.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6220157.7%116 W · 85 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d2…92c5backed The MongolZ73c75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.2512638.9%49 W · 77 L-6.3wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x70d2…9213backed Liquid29c68.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.99633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-44.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe936…8944backed The MongolZ72c66.57$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.642152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x02aa…9c2abacked The MongolZ74c54.05$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0528964%185 W · 104 L+1.4wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xbe7f…9fecbacked The MongolZ66c53.03$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.03966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1f7…8c88backed The MongolZ74c51.22$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.322035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x671f…af9cbacked The MongolZ67c44.37$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.641154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3240…9172backed The MongolZ69c43.42$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.552152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x398a…95b7backed Liquid27c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdc82…3ce9backed Liquid31c34.45$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e86…7932backed The MongolZ73c30$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.128346.6%132 W · 151 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2702…0495backed The MongolZ74c29.12$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.576454.7%35 W · 29 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick65cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1a37…a32dbacked The MongolZ77c20.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf221…df29backed The MongolZ74c17.57$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.