Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: NRG vs GIANTX
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x389a0bf092fdd20bb33312ae180072b41626bf68b8f7c94b10ce8c4aabd635eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NRGof NRG, GIANTX
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $140,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed NRG | 58c | 22,098$12,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,188.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed GIANTX | 41c | 18,333$7,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,513.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed GIANTX | 39c | 9,569$3,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,717.05 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…ba70backed NRG | 59c | 7,724$4,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,178.95 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +11.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked GIANTX | 41c | 7,000$2,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,870 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked NRG | 59c | 5,808$3,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,381.41 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed GIANTX | 38c | 4,349$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.72 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed GIANTX | 42c | 2,200$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.03 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed GIANTX | 31c | 1,601$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.2 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed GIANTX | 41c | 1,565$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked NRG | 80c | 1,466$1,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.98 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed GIANTX | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.79 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked NRG | 64c | 941.67$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.34 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked NRG | 58c | 856.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.41 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked GIANTX | 41c | 799.88$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.06 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked NRG | 63c | 788.76$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.66 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed NRG | 58c | 725$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 56cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed GIANTX | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed GIANTX | 38c | 710$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.8 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked NRG | 59c | 597.83$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.11 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed NRG | 59c | 570$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.7 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed NRG | 59c | 510$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…7cd6backed NRG | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked GIANTX | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked GIANTX | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed GIANTX | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed NRG | 59c | 461.02$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed NRG | 59c | 457.63$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.63 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked GIANTX | 42c | 433$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.45 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c96…f165backed GIANTX | 42c | 422.62$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed NRG | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed NRG | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed NRG | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed NRG | 58c | 282$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked GIANTX | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb14c…7355backed NRG | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked GIANTX | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed NRG | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed GIANTX | 42c | 153.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.63 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked NRG | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed NRG | 57c | 128.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…62a7backed NRG | 63c | 114.92$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked GIANTX | 42c | 97.94$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.13 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639e…a9d4backed NRG | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac1…eda6backed NRG | 59c | 81.24$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked NRG | 63c | 80.95$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed NRG | 59c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed GIANTX | 43c | 72.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.18 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed NRG | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…f180backed NRG | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed GIANTX | 42c | 49.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed NRG | 59c | 48.95$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.07 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…4df6backed NRG | 58c | 47.41$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked GIANTX | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked NRG | 59c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed NRG | 59c | 25.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…6b49backed NRG | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…413dbacked NRG | 68c | 15.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.