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Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: DRX vs Paper Rex (BO3)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
DRXof DRX, Paper Rex
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,390
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,260

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,390 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6937…085dbacked Paper Rex61c52,483$32,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,008.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4762…ba70backed DRX39c41,482$16,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,419.4413558.5%79 W · 56 L+11.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b1d…74ccbacked DRX39c38,515$14,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,612.59757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+38.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Paper Rex61c21,120$12,939 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,938.56540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Paper Rex61c19,535$11,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,865.371145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed Paper Rex61c13,230$8,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,130.599843.9%43 W · 55 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed DRX39c12,842$5,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,807.921050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Paper Rex61c10,625$6,462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,461.6312835.9%46 W · 82 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb412…3026backed DRX40c9,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,400475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+72.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8aa1…99ffbacked DRX40c8,981$3,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,388.621369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick48cpaid+56.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbdd8…2ee5backed DRX38c7,000$2,655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3451560%9 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+36.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed DRX39c5,533$2,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,374.974100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+125.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked DRX43c4,582$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,616.785253.8%28 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa41c…fadebacked Paper Rex60c4,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed DRX40c3,750$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,250366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+47.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Paper Rex62c2,248$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1568…602cbacked Paper Rex61c2,050$1,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,250.56425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick62cpaid-63.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Paper Rex16c1,702$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.412055%11 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+17.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Paper Rex60c1,597$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.6833753.1%179 W · 158 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed Paper Rex64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25ad…46fcbacked Paper Rex49c1,500$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$727.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed DRX40c1,300$520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78016142.9%69 W · 92 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Paper Rex61c1,056$642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.871250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed DRX41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59029140.9%119 W · 172 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb852…bfaebacked Paper Rex61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked Paper Rex60c878.84$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.3855852.2%291 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x300f…d366backed Paper Rex62c865.87$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.84825%2 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-56.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed DRX38c800$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4961346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.16per pick30cpaid+65.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Paper Rex60c793.38$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.9932642%137 W · 189 L-15.4wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Paper Rex64c782.81$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick54cpaid-34.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Paper Rex27c754.18$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Paper Rex59c700$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-52.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Paper Rex60c620$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3696659.1%39 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Paper Rex60c600$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3584353.5%23 W · 20 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed DRX61c592.84$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+45.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Paper Rex49c423$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.581833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed Paper Rex18c393.01$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3462156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x64ad…3050backed DRX77c349$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.07580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Paper Rex59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed Paper Rex61c326.61$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.23850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf967…8cd4backed DRX40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid+13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fd9…f0d5backed Paper Rex61c216.11$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.834050%20 W · 20 L-6.2wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-23.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Paper Rex24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010455.8%58 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc5ec…18f4backed Paper Rex60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+80.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1918…9568backed Paper Rex61c198.72$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.22757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked DRX32c185$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.683627.8%10 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Paper Rex61c175$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf135…eb06backed Paper Rex36c168.32$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Paper Rex60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004242.9%18 W · 24 L-5.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeea7…8fd2backed Paper Rex61c163.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.932138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Paper Rex62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$931323.1%3 W · 10 L-4.2wins-0.33per pick56cpaid-59.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Paper Rex17c150$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.5933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc4…306fbacked Paper Rex42c140.35$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.942729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x807a…2047backed Paper Rex63c119.9$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.541020%2 W · 8 L-4.1wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-71.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x76e5…4485backed DRX33c109.71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.09540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Paper Rex74c107.55$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$806245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Paper Rex60c104.72$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633148.4%15 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+36.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked DRX39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6186747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe49c…773ebacked DRX37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd132…cafcbacked DRX36c97.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.411533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3853…a3d3backed DRX40c83.33$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0be3…4c9bbacked Paper Rex53c76.88$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d47…2aa9backed Paper Rex61c75.36$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+30.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5dc…ec43backed DRX40c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$456251.6%32 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38ce…5431backed Paper Rex62c72.59$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.084560%27 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7312…d40dbacked Paper Rex62c51.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.84633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-41.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed Paper Rex60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025646.9%120 W · 136 L+1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Paper Rex60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3035247.2%166 W · 186 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xad4f…b0bcbacked Paper Rex40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8548…e4c1backed Paper Rex67c44.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302661.5%16 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+484.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4311…d3e8backed Paper Rex46c43.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Paper Rex40c37.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a39…47cbbacked DRX38c37.34$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd13…2260backed Paper Rex41c36.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf84…2d2dbacked Paper Rex55c36.35$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe27…fdeebacked Paper Rex47c35.94$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174353.5%23 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3a6…0107backed Paper Rex61c35$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.35250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe936…8944backed Paper Rex60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4a6…f55fbacked DRX39c28.29$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.31650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x476b…8a58backed DRX61c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.756669.7%46 W · 20 L+6.4wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0a0…dab5backed DRX59c24.39$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x538c…cfdabacked Paper Rex62c23.87$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53aa…8895backed Paper Rex63c19.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x978a…bdf4backed Paper Rex60c19.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd06b…0e9ebacked Paper Rex61c19.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed DRX54c19$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-62.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x99a3…c9a6backed Paper Rex61c18.41$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.