Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fd248c8f528f72e4fddb63d3513e27d79bb2e217a67c17bf3341181d6a568ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Falconsof Team Falcons, BetBoom Team
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed BetBoom Team | 18c | 13,255$2,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,428.48 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed BetBoom Team | 1c | 6,169$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.77 | 616 | 9.7%60 W · 556 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed BetBoom Team | 56c | 2,071$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.36 | 127 | 55.1%70 W · 57 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed BetBoom Team | 21c | 1,144$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.78 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed BetBoom Team | 29c | 989.9$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.75 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons | 70c | 809.77$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.43 | 610 | 57.9%353 W · 257 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked BetBoom Team | 25c | 799.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | +16.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Falcons | 75c | 771.7$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.92 | 779 | 41.1%320 W · 459 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3329…1e4cbacked Team Falcons | 77c | 653.23$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac93…0cfcbacked Team Falcons | 80c | 625.05$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.06 | 581 | 52.5%305 W · 276 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Falcons | 64c | 561.52$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.52 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…ebb8backed Team Falcons | 67c | 549.77$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.77 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Team Falcons | 76c | 295.87$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.87 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x217f…5d10backed BetBoom Team | 11c | 289.15$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Team Falcons | 72c | 269$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.32 | 592 | 50.5%299 W · 293 L | -20.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed BetBoom Team | 21c | 211$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 364 | 42.3%154 W · 210 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked BetBoom Team | 50c | 198.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb876…ae6ebacked BetBoom Team | 51c | 192.31$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29bcbacked Team Falcons | 62c | 170$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2108…9abdbacked BetBoom Team | 33c | 162.97$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.74 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Team Falcons | 72c | 139.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.08 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3731…405fbacked BetBoom Team | 23c | 124.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Team Falcons | 71c | 111.25$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed BetBoom Team | 23c | 63.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 628 | 41.1%258 W · 370 L | -17.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…494dbacked Team Falcons | 53c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked BetBoom Team | 40c | 27.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…67dbbacked Team Falcons | 75c | 14.12$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.53 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa912…c597backed Team Falcons | 80c | 13.36$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed Team Falcons | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.