TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Arthur Rinderknech

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rinderknechof Zverev, Rinderknech
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,809
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$83,761

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,809 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xea64…f2a2backed Zverev73c24,533$17,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,867.239354.8%51 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Rinderknech27c20,192$5,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,695.813934.5%48 W · 91 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Rinderknech26c7,569$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,570.3747639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Rinderknech54c6,436$3,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,989.178,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Zverev39c4,378$1,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,708.5624544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96df…4caabacked Rinderknech27c3,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,55526039.2%102 W · 158 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Rinderknech27c3,419$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,495.8713935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Zverev73c3,344$2,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,434.92728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Zverev72c3,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,16044360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Rinderknech25c2,500$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,87066831.3%209 W · 459 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Rinderknech12c2,470$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,178.925722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Rinderknech76c2,176$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.3613641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Zverev73c1,803$1,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,315.691,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zverev72c1,459$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,050.3462742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Rinderknech28c1,450$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,04459151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Rinderknech36c1,200$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76836440.9%149 W · 215 L-13.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Zverev67c747.99$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.749452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Zverev73c747.44$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.2855143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Zverev43c721.76$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.4465242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbaa…59b8backed Rinderknech29c689.66$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6632448.1%156 W · 168 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Rinderknech52c679.81$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.4411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Rinderknech15c661.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.4132031.3%100 W · 220 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3edc…2d23backed Zverev59c637.43$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.2944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe05e…1ab8backed Zverev58c599.6$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3502828.6%8 W · 20 L-5.9wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-45%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Zverev28c580.51$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.5596035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Zverev74c576.56$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.118562.4%53 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Rinderknech26c499.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.986126.2%16 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb54f…70c3backed Rinderknech37c432.78$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.651533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-32.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Rinderknech17c409.66$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.7444423.9%106 W · 338 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad46…65a7backed Zverev74c405.4$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60a1…1485backed Rinderknech28c383.07$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.076833.8%23 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Rinderknech27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.373336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf575…e0ebbacked Rinderknech29c359.59$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6820431.9%65 W · 139 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed Rinderknech28c358.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.782227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-38.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Rinderknech27c337.25$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.1924846%114 W · 134 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Rinderknech34c335$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.557645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rinderknech26c284.62$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.622,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7f83…a491backed Zverev31c281$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.725743.6%112 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Rinderknech33c245.88$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.671,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Rinderknech28c242.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.94277.4%2 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.19per pick26cpaid-77%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Rinderknech26c230.99$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.945632.1%18 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6777…2612backed Zverev22c223.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9597…ed86backed Zverev23c219.3$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd546…bb33backed Zverev74c207.61$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.63757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick74cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked Zverev5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017338.7%67 W · 106 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+77.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Rinderknech28c199.66$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.662,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bee…ca01backed Zverev53c197.77$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9912050%60 W · 60 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Zverev73c185.69$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.5517867.4%120 W · 58 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Rinderknech28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5711533.9%39 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be4…01adbacked Zverev76c161.75$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.316747.8%32 W · 35 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Zverev73c150.68$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11038356.9%218 W · 165 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed Zverev74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb984…e881backed Zverev74c135.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick74cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Zverev75c133.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Rinderknech12c120$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.61,24533.9%422 W · 823 L-5.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rinderknech58c119.41$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.841,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa263…6cf0backed Zverev26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3017538.3%67 W · 108 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb41c…2f0dbacked Zverev73c100$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736653%35 W · 31 L-4.8wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Rinderknech28c96.43$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4360641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Zverev57c82.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.782,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Rinderknech26c77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.981,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9641…ac5abacked Zverev73c75.15$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8620%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Zverev67c70$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.962952.1%328 W · 301 L+1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…5f5ebacked Zverev73c69$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.372653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Zverev73c68.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016446.3%76 W · 88 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Zverev26c65.77$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.164540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Zverev33c62$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6843948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7312…d40dbacked Zverev67c58.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.54540%18 W · 27 L-6.9wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-35.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Rinderknech39c58.27$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.72759.3%16 W · 11 L+5.3wins+0.19per pick40cpaid+42.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x26dc…95c4backed Rinderknech32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342846.4%13 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+62.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x7412…0ccbbacked Zverev79c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.292347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+15.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xedbd…06c9backed Rinderknech36c50$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3226045%117 W · 143 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Rinderknech22c50$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3931819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x386d…a920backed Zverev74c47.67$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.123050%15 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+91.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x005d…806abacked Zverev65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263743.2%16 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rinderknech62c31.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1526746.1%123 W · 144 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe35e…c46fbacked Zverev68c29.41$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe936…8944backed Zverev73c27.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick68cpaid+0.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x27a3…c192backed Zverev75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.15per pick59cpaid-26.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f01…4ca2backed Zverev74c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.810956.9%62 W · 47 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Zverev74c14.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126462.1%164 W · 100 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.