Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Team Heretics vs MIBR
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37fa3a5d0fe9b9faed4271d18997a9507f0a4be11090b3a55e8ef40c09f8ba44
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBRof Team Heretics, MIBR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,115
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,719
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,115 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Team Heretics | 62c | 29,903$18,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,646.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed MIBR | 38c | 11,111$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,888.82 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed MIBR | 42c | 7,656$3,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,422.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa41c…fadebacked MIBR | 36c | 7,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Heretics | 63c | 5,556$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500.02 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Team Heretics | 59c | 5,094$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed MIBR | 40c | 4,500$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 128 | 35.9%46 W · 82 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed MIBR | 38c | 3,508$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,189.13 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed MIBR | 37c | 3,400$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.98 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed MIBR | 36c | 3,053$1,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,967.6 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Team Heretics | 62c | 2,678$1,673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,673.09 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked MIBR | 39c | 2,500$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed MIBR | 36c | 2,074$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed MIBR | 37c | 1,708$632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.1 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -43%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics | 58c | 1,578$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$916.65 | 684 | 58.3%399 W · 285 L | +56.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked Team Heretics | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa1…99ffbacked MIBR | 38c | 1,307$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.73 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed MIBR | 73c | 1,142$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3c…a6a3backed Team Heretics | 52c | 1,066$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed MIBR | 39c | 999.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Heretics | 61c | 868$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.48 | 337 | 53.1%179 W · 158 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked MIBR | 40c | 800$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed MIBR | 37c | 729.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.59 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 30cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked MIBR | 48c | 600.45$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed MIBR | 37c | 537$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.31 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +149.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc5…53c3backed Team Heretics | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Team Heretics | 40c | 470$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2408…9de9backed MIBR | 40c | 413.4$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Team Heretics | 64c | 400$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 229 | 55%126 W · 103 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Team Heretics | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…e407backed Team Heretics | 16c | 315.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Team Heretics | 64c | 311.38$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.28 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…5c7fbacked Team Heretics | 54c | 296.8$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.72 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2353…45eabacked Team Heretics | 50c | 284$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf15…62a7backed Team Heretics | 10c | 270.61$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked Team Heretics | 56c | 257.32$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa25b…0151backed MIBR | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +117.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab0…955fbacked Team Heretics | 33c | 250$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 29cpaid | +125.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb14c…7355backed Team Heretics | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…efbebacked MIBR | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8456…b31dbacked Team Heretics | 64c | 162.47$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Team Heretics | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Team Heretics | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -5.3wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9007…cf89backed MIBR | 51c | 152.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed MIBR | 43c | 138.4$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.5 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…9172backed MIBR | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +78.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…d40dbacked Team Heretics | 65c | 115.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfe…4341backed Team Heretics | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…46e8backed MIBR | 40c | 107.13$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Team Heretics | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb758…dd73backed Team Heretics | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 253 | 47%119 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a71…f9c9backed Team Heretics | 61c | 80.33$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked MIBR | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Team Heretics | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 247 | 32%79 W · 168 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed MIBR | 47c | 65.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.91 | 104 | 55.8%58 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14e…7e5fbacked MIBR | 54c | 54.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Team Heretics | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 339 | 47.8%162 W · 177 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebcb…3e71backed Team Heretics | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe936…8944backed Team Heretics | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Team Heretics | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed MIBR | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c5…bf7abacked Team Heretics | 60c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.